经济与管理
經濟與管理
경제여관리
Economy and Management
2006年
9期
13~16
,共null页
医疗卫生费用 广义差分法 岭回归法 补偿机制 垄断性
醫療衛生費用 廣義差分法 嶺迴歸法 補償機製 壟斷性
의료위생비용 엄의차분법 령회귀법 보상궤제 롱단성
national health expenses; first order generalized difference scheme; ridge regression;;compensation mechanism; monopoly
采用一阶广义差分法和岭回归法，使用SAS9．0统计软件对相关数据分别建立医疗卫生费用的供给和需求模型进行实证分析表明：医疗卫生费用的增长速度快于国内生产总值的增长，但弹性相对较小；医疗卫生需求与城镇居民人均可支配收入、城镇医疗保健价格指数、人口调整数和卫生事业费同方向变化，而与医疗机构的数目反方向变化：医疗卫生服务供不应求，进一步加重了居民的医疗负担。对此应进一步明确政府在医疗卫生服务市场职责范围，合理调整医疗服务价格体系。
採用一階廣義差分法和嶺迴歸法，使用SAS9．0統計軟件對相關數據分彆建立醫療衛生費用的供給和需求模型進行實證分析錶明：醫療衛生費用的增長速度快于國內生產總值的增長，但彈性相對較小；醫療衛生需求與城鎮居民人均可支配收入、城鎮醫療保健價格指數、人口調整數和衛生事業費同方嚮變化，而與醫療機構的數目反方嚮變化：醫療衛生服務供不應求，進一步加重瞭居民的醫療負擔。對此應進一步明確政府在醫療衛生服務市場職責範圍，閤理調整醫療服務價格體繫。
채용일계엄의차분법화령회귀법，사용SAS9．0통계연건대상관수거분별건립의료위생비용적공급화수구모형진행실증분석표명：의료위생비용적증장속도쾌우국내생산총치적증장，단탄성상대교소；의료위생수구여성진거민인균가지배수입、성진의료보건개격지수、인구조정수화위생사업비동방향변화，이여의료궤구적수목반방향변화：의료위생복무공불응구，진일보가중료거민적의료부담。대차응진일보명학정부재의료위생복무시장직책범위，합리조정의료복무개격체계。
The supply and demand models of national health expenditures are established with the First Order Generalized Difference Scheme and Ridge Regression respectively using SAS9.0 statistic software. The following conclusions are drawn as： first, the growth of total health expenditures is faster than that of GDP,but the elasticity is small; second, the demand of national medical and health expenditures has the same changing direction with the disposable income of urban residents, the price index of medical ＆ health care for urban resident, the adjusted population and funds allocated to health sector, but has the inverse direction with the number of medical institutions; third, the demand for medical service is larger than the supply, which leads to a heavy medical burden for patients. For this, the government should further pinpoint range of responsibility in the market of medical treatment and service and adjust reasonably the price system of medical service.
