系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2007年
1期
45~50
,共null页
转移价格 预期机制 混沌预测 最大Lyapunov指数
轉移價格 預期機製 混沌預測 最大Lyapunov指數
전이개격 예기궤제 혼돈예측 최대Lyapunov지수
transfer price; prediction mechanism, chaotic forecast; the maximum Lyapunov exponent
将供应链管理系统中与原材料和产品流动过程有关的产品转移价格作为上游企业基于提前期内下游企业对产品的反馈信息作出的预期价格．提出了预期机制下供应链产品的非线性、非均衡转移定价模型，研究了供应链管理系统产品转移价格决策的混沌动力行为，并基于最大Lyapunov指数对供应链产品转移价格进行预测．最后，通过实例进行分析其应用价值．
將供應鏈管理繫統中與原材料和產品流動過程有關的產品轉移價格作為上遊企業基于提前期內下遊企業對產品的反饋信息作齣的預期價格．提齣瞭預期機製下供應鏈產品的非線性、非均衡轉移定價模型，研究瞭供應鏈管理繫統產品轉移價格決策的混沌動力行為，併基于最大Lyapunov指數對供應鏈產品轉移價格進行預測．最後，通過實例進行分析其應用價值．
장공응련관리계통중여원재료화산품류동과정유관적산품전이개격작위상유기업기우제전기내하유기업대산품적반궤신식작출적예기개격．제출료예기궤제하공응련산품적비선성、비균형전이정개모형，연구료공응련관리계통산품전이개격결책적혼돈동역행위，병기우최대Lyapunov지수대공응련산품전이개격진행예측．최후，통과실례진행분석기응용개치．
The existence of prediction mechanism in the trades among participants in the supply chain management system, therefore, transfer price and price decision, both of them are related to raw material, products and the pass process of information has a nonlinear character and great importance in the study on the complexity of the supply chain management. Aimed at the nonlinear mechanism of the transfer price and market price in a supply chain, the paper, based on chaotic theory and their methods and investigates the chaotic dynamical behaviors in the transfer pricing. Predictions are made from the price sequences of the supplies in supply chains based on the maximum Lyapunov exponent. Also examples are given to show the application of this method.
