CAJ | 학술논문

介绍了收益还原法、市场修正法和综合指标评价法三种房地产泡沫评价方法。前两种方法存在一定的不足之处，而综合指标评价法能够更全面考虑各个因素对房地产泡沫的影响，且能更准确的预测出房地产泡沫的程度。并在此基础上提出了房地产泡沫预警方法，希望能够对房地产泡沫加以更好地预测和防范。
개소료수익환원법、시장수정법화종합지표평개법삼충방지산포말평개방법。전량충방법존재일정적불족지처，이종합지표평개법능구경전면고필각개인소대방지산포말적영향，차능경준학적예측출방지산포말적정도。병재차기출상제출료방지산포말예경방법，희망능구대방지산포말가이경호지예측화방범。
This article introduced three real estate bubble appraise method methods, including the income reducing process, the market correction method and the overall target appraisal method. First two methods existence certain deficiency, but the overall target appraisal method can consider each factor comprehensively to the real estate bubble influence, it also can more accurately forecast real estate bubble degree. And proposed in this foundation the real estate bubble early warning method, hope that it can perform forecast well and guard the real estate bubble.