系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2007年
7期
105~110
,共null页
应维云 覃正 赵宇 李兵 李秀
應維雲 覃正 趙宇 李兵 李秀
응유운 담정 조우 리병 리수
客户流失 支持向量机 客户关系管理 预测
客戶流失 支持嚮量機 客戶關繫管理 預測
객호류실 지지향량궤 객호관계관리 예측
customer churn; support vector machine; customer relationship management; prediction
客户流失分析与预测是客户关系管理的重要内容,针对客户流失问题,建立了支持向量机预测模型,针对实际客户流失数据中正负样本数量不平衡而且数据量大的特点,提出带有不同类丰义重参数的支持向量机算法CW-SVM,通过调整类权重参数改变分类面位置,提高算法分类准确性;将标准支持向量机训练问题转化为运算效率更高的核向量机问题,提出处理不平衡海量数据集的CWC-SVM算法,通过实际银行信贷客户数据集测试,该算法与传统预测算法比较,更适合解决大数据集和不平衡数据,取得较好的客户流失预测效果。
客戶流失分析與預測是客戶關繫管理的重要內容,針對客戶流失問題,建立瞭支持嚮量機預測模型,針對實際客戶流失數據中正負樣本數量不平衡而且數據量大的特點,提齣帶有不同類豐義重參數的支持嚮量機算法CW-SVM,通過調整類權重參數改變分類麵位置,提高算法分類準確性;將標準支持嚮量機訓練問題轉化為運算效率更高的覈嚮量機問題,提齣處理不平衡海量數據集的CWC-SVM算法,通過實際銀行信貸客戶數據集測試,該算法與傳統預測算法比較,更適閤解決大數據集和不平衡數據,取得較好的客戶流失預測效果。
객호류실분석여예측시객호관계관리적중요내용,침대객호류실문제,건립료지지향량궤예측모형,침대실제객호류실수거중정부양본수량불평형이차수거량대적특점,제출대유불동류봉의중삼수적지지향량궤산법CW-SVM,통과조정류권중삼수개변분류면위치,제고산법분류준학성;장표준지지향량궤훈련문제전화위운산효솔경고적핵향량궤문제,제출처리불평형해량수거집적CWC-SVM산법,통과실제은행신대객호수거집측시,해산법여전통예측산법비교,경괄합해결대수거집화불평형수거,취득교호적객호류실예측효과。
Customer churn analysis and prediction play an important role in customer relationship management and improve benefit of enterprise, A Support Vector Machine model is established to predict customer churn, Customer churn characteristic is presented in this paper. According to the churn data which is large scale and imbalance, this paper presents a two-class model based on improved SVM to predict customer churn, The class weighted SVM model CW-SVM is presented, and the accuracy is improved by adjusting the class weight and the position of boundary, The efficiency is improved by translating the SVM to the Core Vector Machine and a new algorithms CWC-SVM is presented, The arithmetic performance is better than others based on the test of real credit debt data set in the commercial bank.