CAJ | 학술논문

通常认为地方官员在我国经济发展中扮演着积极角色，近来国家也有意通过干部交流促进省区平衡发展，但国内还没有定量识别地方官员影响经济增长的文献。本文基于1978--2005年间省长（书记）交流样本构造了省长（书记）与省区相匹配的面板数据，系统地实证分析省长（书记）交流对流入省区经济增长的影响（即省长交流效应），结果发现，整体而言，省长交流能够使流入地的经济增长速度提高1个百分点左右；这种省长交流效应是通过在流入地采取大力发展二产、重视一产、忽视三产的产业发展取向实现的。本文的发现是稳健的，有助于增进对加强干部交流破解省区发展不平衡的理解。
통상인위지방관원재아국경제발전중분연착적겁각색，근래국가야유의통과간부교류촉진성구평형발전，단국내환몰유정량식별지방관원영향경제증장적문헌。본문기우1978--2005년간성장（서기）교류양본구조료성장（서기）여성구상필배적면판수거，계통지실증분석성장（서기）교류대류입성구경제증장적영향（즉성장교류효응），결과발현，정체이언，성장교류능구사류입지적경제증장속도제고1개백분점좌우；저충성장교류효응시통과재류입지채취대력발전이산、중시일산、홀시삼산적산업발전취향실현적。본문적발현시은건적，유조우증진대가강간부교류파해성구발전불평형적리해。
It＇s the repeatedly observed phenomenon that the local officials play an active role in the process of economic development in China. The literature, however, has been in dark, because it＇s not easy to separate the impact of local officials on economic growth from the fixed effect. We find the official transfer can serve as the natural experiment to solve the problem of the separation. So we construct the governor-province matched data set in which people can trace back at least two provinces the same governor served in, and then systematically explore the direct effect of governor on the provincial economic growth, which we call the effect of governor transfer. The governor does matter for provincial economic growth. Specifically, it＇ s about 1 percentage of economic growth that can directly and significantly attribute to the incumbent governors, which to our knowledge is the first attempt to understand the economic growth rigorously at the individual level.