科研管理
科研管理
과연관리
Science Research Management
2007年
6期
154~158
,共null页
姜继娇 杨乃定 王良 董铁牛
薑繼嬌 楊迺定 王良 董鐵牛
강계교 양내정 왕량 동철우
区域产业集群 风险识别 风险扩散 风险防范
區域產業集群 風險識彆 風險擴散 風險防範
구역산업집군 풍험식별 풍험확산 풍험방범
regional industrial cluster; risk identification; risk diffusion; risk
利用风险转移算法(RTA)改进的聚类分析法,对区域产业集群(RIC)中的企业风险进行了分类识别,给出了其风险关联图。基于RTA和Bass模型描述了RIC中企业风险的扩散机制,揭示了企业风险因子在PdC网络中的转移过程,并可处理时间上相互并行的随机网络情景,较Monte Carlo模拟法和随机网络解析法具有更好的解释性和通用性。并且,提出了应对RIC网络中企业风险扩散的防范机制,强调对企业风险管理战略、组织、方法、信息、文化和过程六要素的有机融合。
利用風險轉移算法(RTA)改進的聚類分析法,對區域產業集群(RIC)中的企業風險進行瞭分類識彆,給齣瞭其風險關聯圖。基于RTA和Bass模型描述瞭RIC中企業風險的擴散機製,揭示瞭企業風險因子在PdC網絡中的轉移過程,併可處理時間上相互併行的隨機網絡情景,較Monte Carlo模擬法和隨機網絡解析法具有更好的解釋性和通用性。併且,提齣瞭應對RIC網絡中企業風險擴散的防範機製,彊調對企業風險管理戰略、組織、方法、信息、文化和過程六要素的有機融閤。
이용풍험전이산법(RTA)개진적취류분석법,대구역산업집군(RIC)중적기업풍험진행료분류식별,급출료기풍험관련도。기우RTA화Bass모형묘술료RIC중기업풍험적확산궤제,게시료기업풍험인자재PdC망락중적전이과정,병가처리시간상상호병행적수궤망락정경,교Monte Carlo모의법화수궤망락해석법구유경호적해석성화통용성。병차,제출료응대RIC망락중기업풍험확산적방범궤제,강조대기업풍험관리전략、조직、방법、신식、문화화과정륙요소적유궤융합。
With the category analysis ameliorated by Risk Transfer Algorithm ( RTA), enterprise risks in Regional Industrial Cluster (RIC) are identified in the category, and thier related structure figure is given as well. Based on the RTA and the Bass model, the diffusion mechanism of the enterprise risks in RIC is proposed, which solves the problem of describing risk transfer process in RIC network, and also deals with parallel risks in the random network. It' s superior to the Monte Carlo simulation and the random network analysis. Finally, the mechanism dealing with the enterprise risk diffusion, which emphasizes synthesis of enterprise risk management strategies, organization, methodology, information, culture and process, is put forward.