市场与人口分析
市場與人口分析
시장여인구분석
Market & Demographic Analysis
2007年
5期
1~9
,共null页
民工流 吸引场 引力面板数据模型
民工流 吸引場 引力麵闆數據模型
민공류 흡인장 인력면판수거모형
rural labor immigration ; attraction filed ; panel data gravity model
改革开放以后，由于经济和社会的变革，我国出现了“民工潮”这一特殊现象。民工的流出流入地及流动范围也具有较强的地域空间分布特征，即多从中部地区流向东部地区。研究了我国民工流的场效应。我国存在五个主要的吸引场，分析了民工流吸引场的特点，剖析了不同区域民工流流动空间差异。通过引力面板数据模型，验证了我国民工流流动符合Harris—Todaro期望收入假设．Schulzt人口流动推拉对称假设和距离衰减假设。由于区位的差异，不同流入地、流出地的民工流影响因素略有不同。
改革開放以後，由于經濟和社會的變革，我國齣現瞭“民工潮”這一特殊現象。民工的流齣流入地及流動範圍也具有較彊的地域空間分佈特徵，即多從中部地區流嚮東部地區。研究瞭我國民工流的場效應。我國存在五箇主要的吸引場，分析瞭民工流吸引場的特點，剖析瞭不同區域民工流流動空間差異。通過引力麵闆數據模型，驗證瞭我國民工流流動符閤Harris—Todaro期望收入假設．Schulzt人口流動推拉對稱假設和距離衰減假設。由于區位的差異，不同流入地、流齣地的民工流影響因素略有不同。
개혁개방이후，유우경제화사회적변혁，아국출현료“민공조”저일특수현상。민공적류출류입지급류동범위야구유교강적지역공간분포특정，즉다종중부지구류향동부지구。연구료아국민공류적장효응。아국존재오개주요적흡인장，분석료민공류흡인장적특점，부석료불동구역민공류류동공간차이。통과인력면판수거모형，험증료아국민공류류동부합Harris—Todaro기망수입가설．Schulzt인구류동추랍대칭가설화거리쇠감가설。유우구위적차이，불동류입지、류출지적민공류영향인소략유불동。
After the reforming and opening, an enormous amount of rural labor became available in China major cities, for the transformation of economics and society. It is found that the origin and destination of China rural are differently distributed in geographic prospects, from central areas to eastern areas. The paper argues that there are five attraction fields of rural labor in China, and analyses their features and difference. More ever, based on the panel data gravity model, de- terminants of rural labor immigration are studied, accepting the expected earning hypothesis, the symmetry hypothesis of effects of sending and host area variables on migration and the hypothesis of distance decay. Due to distinctions in location ,the determinants are not completely equivalent.
