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남개관리평론
Nankai Business Review
2008年
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股利分配决策 分配动因 影响因素 股东财富效应 问卷调查
股利分配決策 分配動因 影響因素 股東財富效應 問捲調查
고리분배결책 분배동인 영향인소 고동재부효응 문권조사
Dividend Policy; Aims of Paying Dividend; Factors; Shareholder Wealth Effect; Survey
本文调查了上市公司财务总监股利支付水平决策的主要影响因素和股利分配动因。2006年5月和8月,我们对河北省、山西省、陕西省82家上市公司和厦门国家会计学院两期培训班60家上市公司财务总监进行问卷调查,累计收回有效问卷123份。分析调查结果我们发现,上市公司管理层在决定现金股利支付水平时,首先考虑公司是否有充足的现金储备和持续经营现金净流入量;股票股利高低主要受公司扩张计划、当期每股净利润和未来预期每股净利润的影响;每股资本公积金是公积金转增股本的首要影响因素;支付现金股利的资金主要来源于当期和以前经营活动现金净流量。大部分CFO同意公司应设立现金股利目标支付率并逐步调整至目标支付率,反对稳定的现金股利政策;支持“一鸟在手”理论、信号传递理论、代理成本理论和大股东陶空理论。现金股利、股票股利分别对非流通股股东、流通股股东存在显著的财富效应,为股东财富效应理论提供了充分证据。
本文調查瞭上市公司財務總鑑股利支付水平決策的主要影響因素和股利分配動因。2006年5月和8月,我們對河北省、山西省、陝西省82傢上市公司和廈門國傢會計學院兩期培訓班60傢上市公司財務總鑑進行問捲調查,纍計收迴有效問捲123份。分析調查結果我們髮現,上市公司管理層在決定現金股利支付水平時,首先攷慮公司是否有充足的現金儲備和持續經營現金淨流入量;股票股利高低主要受公司擴張計劃、噹期每股淨利潤和未來預期每股淨利潤的影響;每股資本公積金是公積金轉增股本的首要影響因素;支付現金股利的資金主要來源于噹期和以前經營活動現金淨流量。大部分CFO同意公司應設立現金股利目標支付率併逐步調整至目標支付率,反對穩定的現金股利政策;支持“一鳥在手”理論、信號傳遞理論、代理成本理論和大股東陶空理論。現金股利、股票股利分彆對非流通股股東、流通股股東存在顯著的財富效應,為股東財富效應理論提供瞭充分證據。
본문조사료상시공사재무총감고리지부수평결책적주요영향인소화고리분배동인。2006년5월화8월,아문대하북성、산서성、합서성82가상시공사화하문국가회계학원량기배훈반60가상시공사재무총감진행문권조사,루계수회유효문권123빈。분석조사결과아문발현,상시공사관리층재결정현금고리지부수평시,수선고필공사시부유충족적현금저비화지속경영현금정류입량;고표고리고저주요수공사확장계화、당기매고정리윤화미래예기매고정리윤적영향;매고자본공적금시공적금전증고본적수요영향인소;지부현금고리적자금주요래원우당기화이전경영활동현금정류량。대부분CFO동의공사응설립현금고리목표지부솔병축보조정지목표지부솔,반대은정적현금고리정책;지지“일조재수”이론、신호전체이론、대리성본이론화대고동도공이론。현금고리、고표고리분별대비류통고고동、류통고고동존재현저적재부효응,위고동재부효응이론제공료충분증거。
This study investigates the views of chief financial offers (CFOs) about factors which affect dividend policy level, motivations of paying dividend to shareholders. In May and August 2007, we have surveyed 142 CFOs of listed firms which come from Hebei, Shaanxi, Shanxi provinces and two seminars in Xiamen National Accounting Institute two times. By the end of September 2007, we had received 123 useable responses. We analyzed the responses and got satisfying results. The evidences show that managers of listed firms stress cash at hand level and sustainable cash in-flow on cash dividend level decision, and think that more cash and cash flow, higher cash dividend level. They stress corporate investment plan, net profit per share and future net profit per share on stock dividend level decision, and consider that stock dividend level is correlative with listed firms' long development strategy. These firms which are in growth life cycle pay stock dividends, and keep cash back in their firms for future development. They consider that accumulation funds per share is the first factor on accumulation fund turning to capital decision, Managers widely agree that this term and before net business cash flow is main source for cash dividend. Most CFOs agree that listed firms should build objective rate for cash dividend and gradually adjust cash dividend rate to it, and argue against changeless dividend policy. Managers give strong support to "one bird in hand" theory, signaling theory, agency cost theory, stake- holder tunneling theory. They prefer cash dividend to capital return, and consider that dividend policy can transfer firms' development information. CFOs think that paying cash dividend can reduce agent cost. But big stakeholders can tunnel and deprive small stockholders by paying cash dividends. Cash dividend and stock dividend have significant wealth effects for non-publicly tradable shareholders and publicly tradable shareholders each other. The study provides new evidences for the shareholder wealth effect theory.