CAJ | 학술논문

在过去的几年中，全球FDI从低迷中苏醒进入快速回升阶段。根据英国经济学家智囊团的研究，2007年全球FDI流入量会持续增加；但2008年可能出现暂时的轻微下滑；而2009～2011年全球FDI又会回到稳步增长的轨道。许多因素使我们对未来世界投资的中期前景保持乐观。但是，未来的风险因素也在加大，比如国家保护主义、政治风险、能源短缺和金融市场的不确定因素等，这些都会对全球FDI带来负面影响。在2007～2011年，中国仍将是全球FDI最重要的投资地之一，中国经济的崛起可能会打破美国在吸引外资方面的长期垄断局面。
재과거적궤년중，전구FDI종저미중소성진입쾌속회승계단。근거영국경제학가지낭단적연구，2007년전구FDI류입량회지속증가；단2008년가능출현잠시적경미하활；이2009～2011년전구FDI우회회도은보증장적궤도。허다인소사아문대미래세계투자적중기전경보지악관。단시，미래적풍험인소야재가대，비여국가보호주의、정치풍험、능원단결화금융시장적불학정인소등，저사도회대전구FDI대래부면영향。재2007～2011년，중국잉장시전구FDI최중요적투자지지일，중국경제적굴기가능회타파미국재흡인외자방면적장기롱단국면。
Global FDI recovered strongly in the past few years after a deep slump. According to the study by the Economist Intelligence Unit, following a further increase in FDI inflows in 2007, a modest and temporary decline in global FDI inflows is expected in 2008. Global FDI inflows are projected to return to steady growth in 2009 - 11. There are a number of reasons to be optimistic about the medium-term prospects for FDI. However, downside risks loom large in the next few years. The risk factors including national protectionism, political risk, energy shortage and uncertainty risk in financial market will have negative impact on global FDI. In 2007 - 2011, China will be still one of the world＇ s largest hosts of FDI. The rise of China＇s economy may break the long-term monopoly by the United States in FDI.