国际贸易问题
國際貿易問題
국제무역문제
Journal of International Trade
2008年
4期
82~88
,共null页
金融发展 国际贸易 面板协整 广义矩估计 区域差异
金融髮展 國際貿易 麵闆協整 廣義矩估計 區域差異
금융발전 국제무역 면판협정 엄의구고계 구역차이
Financial development; Foreign trade; Panel cointegration; GMM; Regional difference
本文针对有关我国金融发展影响国际贸易的现有研究只重视国家层面、忽视区域差异的事实.基于跨省面板数据。运用面板协整理论和广义矩估计方法,不仅就全国整体,更深入东、中、西部区域内部实证分析了我国金融发展对国际贸易影响的长期均衡和短期动态影响。结果表明:无论是在长期.还是在短期,全国金融发展对进、出口都有着显著的促进作用,但在不同区域,其影响差异显著。其中.东部地区金融发展对进出口的长期促进作用明显大于中、西部地区;而短期内,虽然东部金融发展促进了进出口,但中、西部金融发展却不同程度地制约了进出口的发展。
本文針對有關我國金融髮展影響國際貿易的現有研究隻重視國傢層麵、忽視區域差異的事實.基于跨省麵闆數據。運用麵闆協整理論和廣義矩估計方法,不僅就全國整體,更深入東、中、西部區域內部實證分析瞭我國金融髮展對國際貿易影響的長期均衡和短期動態影響。結果錶明:無論是在長期.還是在短期,全國金融髮展對進、齣口都有著顯著的促進作用,但在不同區域,其影響差異顯著。其中.東部地區金融髮展對進齣口的長期促進作用明顯大于中、西部地區;而短期內,雖然東部金融髮展促進瞭進齣口,但中、西部金融髮展卻不同程度地製約瞭進齣口的髮展。
본문침대유관아국금융발전영향국제무역적현유연구지중시국가층면、홀시구역차이적사실.기우과성면판수거。운용면판협정이론화엄의구고계방법,불부취전국정체,경심입동、중、서부구역내부실증분석료아국금융발전대국제무역영향적장기균형화단기동태영향。결과표명:무론시재장기.환시재단기,전국금융발전대진、출구도유착현저적촉진작용,단재불동구역,기영향차이현저。기중.동부지구금융발전대진출구적장기촉진작용명현대우중、서부지구;이단기내,수연동부금융발전촉진료진출구,단중、서부금융발전각불동정도지제약료진출구적발전。
Aimed at the fact that the researches concerning the effect of financial development on foreign trade focus on the perspective of countries but neglecting the difference of regions, this paper uses panel cointegration theory and generalized method of moments (GMM) to analyze the long term equilibrium effect and short dynamic effect of financial development on import/export and contrast the difference of the effect among eastern, middle and western China based on crossed provinces panel data. The results show that financial development has remarkable push effect on im- port/export both in long term and short term, but the effect is different in different areas. In which, the push effect of eastern area is stronger than that of other areas in the long term, while the picture is different in short term, although financial development has obvious push effect on import/export in eastern China, yet financial development restraints import/export in middle and western China.