财经研究
財經研究
재경연구
The Study of Finance and Economics
2008年
4期
105~116
,共null页
经济波动 消费结构 消费价格指数
經濟波動 消費結構 消費價格指數
경제파동 소비결구 소비개격지수
economic fluctuation; consumption structure; consumer price index
文章利用1981-2006年中国实际经济数据，实证研究了经济波动与消费结构变迁的互动关系。研究发现，一是各类消费品价格易变性普遍大于产出，且以住房、家庭用品和交通为代表的耐用品价格波动普遍小于以食品为代表的非耐用品价格波动；而消费量的易变性则相反，这一波动特征事实普遍存在于发展中国家，而发达国家则相反。二是随着中国经济体制改革的深入，经济波动与居民消费结构变迁相互影响和促进，在经济环境发生重大变化的情况下，需要对消费需求进行有效的宏观调控。
文章利用1981-2006年中國實際經濟數據，實證研究瞭經濟波動與消費結構變遷的互動關繫。研究髮現，一是各類消費品價格易變性普遍大于產齣，且以住房、傢庭用品和交通為代錶的耐用品價格波動普遍小于以食品為代錶的非耐用品價格波動；而消費量的易變性則相反，這一波動特徵事實普遍存在于髮展中國傢，而髮達國傢則相反。二是隨著中國經濟體製改革的深入，經濟波動與居民消費結構變遷相互影響和促進，在經濟環境髮生重大變化的情況下，需要對消費需求進行有效的宏觀調控。
문장이용1981-2006년중국실제경제수거，실증연구료경제파동여소비결구변천적호동관계。연구발현，일시각류소비품개격역변성보편대우산출，차이주방、가정용품화교통위대표적내용품개격파동보편소우이식품위대표적비내용품개격파동；이소비량적역변성칙상반，저일파동특정사실보편존재우발전중국가，이발체국가칙상반。이시수착중국경제체제개혁적심입，경제파동여거민소비결구변천상호영향화촉진，재경제배경발생중대변화적정황하，수요대소비수구진행유효적굉관조공。
This paper uses China＇s economic data during the period of 1981- 2006, to make an empirical study on the correlation between economic fluctuation and consumption structure. Then some conclusions are drawn： Firstly, fluctuations in consumer price index are larger than those in output, and the price volatility in durable goods is smaller than that in nondurable goods, while converses to the total amount volatility. The fluctuation fact generally exists in the developing country, while conversely in the developed country. Secondly, with the reformation in economic system, business cycle and consumption structure interact and improve each other. As the economic circumstances change largely, it＇ s necessary to implement effective macro control on the consumer demand.
