软科学
軟科學
연과학
Soft Science
2008年
5期
95~99
,共null页
财政支农 农业经济增长 协整分析 误差修正模型
財政支農 農業經濟增長 協整分析 誤差脩正模型
재정지농 농업경제증장 협정분석 오차수정모형
agriculture financial expenditures ; growth of the agricultural economy; cointegration; error correction model
运用协整和误差修正模型，采用1978-2005年的年度经济数据对我国东、西部财政支农与农业经济增长关系进行实证检验。结果表明，财政农业支出与农业经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系，西部地区两者之间的相关性更为显著，无论短期还是长期的财政农业支出，对刺激西部地区的农业经济增长都较为重要，而东部地区的长期性政策则更为有效。
運用協整和誤差脩正模型，採用1978-2005年的年度經濟數據對我國東、西部財政支農與農業經濟增長關繫進行實證檢驗。結果錶明，財政農業支齣與農業經濟增長之間存在長期均衡關繫，西部地區兩者之間的相關性更為顯著，無論短期還是長期的財政農業支齣，對刺激西部地區的農業經濟增長都較為重要，而東部地區的長期性政策則更為有效。
운용협정화오차수정모형，채용1978-2005년적년도경제수거대아국동、서부재정지농여농업경제증장관계진행실증검험。결과표명，재정농업지출여농업경제증장지간존재장기균형관계，서부지구량자지간적상관성경위현저，무론단기환시장기적재정농업지출，대자격서부지구적농업경제증장도교위중요，이동부지구적장기성정책칙경위유효。
By using cointegration and error correction model methods, this paper has calculated 1978 - 2005 annual economic data and analyzed Chinas eastern and western regions between agriculture financial expenditures and growth of agricultural economy. The results indicate that agriculture financial expenditures and growth of agricul- tural economy both have a balanced long - term relationship. Agriculture financial expenditures and growth of agricultural economy in western region are both more notable ; whatever short or long - term financial policy,it is more important to stimulate the growth of the agricultural economy in western region, while long - term policy on the eastern region is more effective .
