CAJ | 학술논문

本文首先对Malmquist指数法进行了回顾，对Malmquist指数各种分解的分歧和争论作了一个比较全面深入的介绍，并指出国内已有研究在指数分解方面存在的不足。在此基础上，对我国1979～2005年全要素生产率变动及其分解进行了分析。本文的主要结论是：改革开放以来，由于技术效率和生产技术的进步，我国全要素生产率得到了较大进步。但是1997年以后，由于技术效率下降，全要素生产率增长出现下降趋势。总体而言，由于地区之间技术差距的拉大，我国并没有出现全要素生产率的趋同效应。
본문수선대Malmquist지수법진행료회고，대Malmquist지수각충분해적분기화쟁론작료일개비교전면심입적개소，병지출국내이유연구재지수분해방면존재적불족。재차기출상，대아국1979～2005년전요소생산솔변동급기분해진행료분석。본문적주요결론시：개혁개방이래，유우기술효솔화생산기술적진보，아국전요소생산솔득도료교대진보。단시1997년이후，유우기술효솔하강，전요소생산솔증장출현하강추세。총체이언，유우지구지간기술차거적랍대，아국병몰유출현전요소생산솔적추동효응。
This paper reviews the Malmquist Index Approach and introduces comprehensively the argument between the different decompositions of the Malmquist Index. It also points out the insufficiency in the past domestic researches about the decomposition. Based on it, the paper analyses the change and decomposition of the total factor productivity （TFP） in China during the period of 1979-2005. The major conclusions are as follows. The TFP has obtained considerable growth since the reform and open policy because of the progress of technical efficiency and technology. But the TFP has slowed down successively since 1997 as a result of the decrease of technical efficiency. As a whole the China＇ s economy has not shown the convergence effect because the disparity of technical progress.