清华大学教育研究
清華大學教育研究
청화대학교육연구
Research on Education Tsinghua University
2008年
3期
27~32
,共null页
教育消费 扩大内需 Panel data分析
教育消費 擴大內需 Panel data分析
교육소비 확대내수 Panel data분석
educational consumption; domestic demand; panel data analysis
本文主要研究近年来我国教育成本分担机制的建立过程中,居民个人教育支出的迅速增长是否对其他消费存在一定挤占作用的问题,从而讨论个人的教育成本分担是否能够有效地拉动国内消费需求。本文以发达地区、中等发达地区和欠发达地区的城镇居民消费分别作为三组分析对象,以文化娱乐消费作为被解释变量,以收入和教育消费作为解释变量,运用panel data分析进行估计,最终得出了在三个地区教育消费对文化娱乐服务消费均存在不同程度的挤占的结论。在目前社会公平性受到广泛关注,且居民的收入水平不高等情况下,应该继续加大财政教育投入的比例,控制个人教育消费的增长速度,使之与经济和社会发展相适应。
本文主要研究近年來我國教育成本分擔機製的建立過程中,居民箇人教育支齣的迅速增長是否對其他消費存在一定擠佔作用的問題,從而討論箇人的教育成本分擔是否能夠有效地拉動國內消費需求。本文以髮達地區、中等髮達地區和欠髮達地區的城鎮居民消費分彆作為三組分析對象,以文化娛樂消費作為被解釋變量,以收入和教育消費作為解釋變量,運用panel data分析進行估計,最終得齣瞭在三箇地區教育消費對文化娛樂服務消費均存在不同程度的擠佔的結論。在目前社會公平性受到廣汎關註,且居民的收入水平不高等情況下,應該繼續加大財政教育投入的比例,控製箇人教育消費的增長速度,使之與經濟和社會髮展相適應。
본문주요연구근년래아국교육성본분담궤제적건립과정중,거민개인교육지출적신속증장시부대기타소비존재일정제점작용적문제,종이토론개인적교육성본분담시부능구유효지랍동국내소비수구。본문이발체지구、중등발체지구화흠발체지구적성진거민소비분별작위삼조분석대상,이문화오악소비작위피해석변량,이수입화교육소비작위해석변량,운용panel data분석진행고계,최종득출료재삼개지구교육소비대문화오악복무소비균존재불동정도적제점적결론。재목전사회공평성수도엄범관주,차거민적수입수평불고등정황하,응해계속가대재정교육투입적비례,공제개인교육소비적증장속도,사지여경제화사회발전상괄응。
Educational expenditure has increased significantly during the course of higher education massification and other educational reforms since the late 1990s. Some of those policies aimed at spurring domestic demand in the context of insufficiency of effective demand. Nowadays, there are wide debates about educational reforms such as expansion higher education policy, marketisation of basic education and so on. This paper examines whether educational expenditure accelerated the consumption or simply made the households having more preference on saving as a result of precautionary savings motivation. Panel data analysis is used on educational expenditure and entertainment expenditure of three groups from all the provinces in China. The conclusion is that though educational expenditure has a similar general positive effect on total consumption as other kinds of expenditure, it reduces entertainment expenditure significantly in overall groups, therefore the propensity to consume did not become stronger during the process of educational expenditure.