心理科学
心理科學
심이과학
Psychological Science
2008年
4期
1010~1013
,共null页
假设检验 贝叶斯公式 元分析
假設檢驗 貝葉斯公式 元分析
가설검험 패협사공식 원분석
hypothesis-test, Beyasian formula, meta-analysis
根据假设检验原理的贝叶斯统计的表达方式分析和回应了心理学中对传统的假设检验方法的主要批评。认为:(1)确定假设的接受域不仅要考虑.同时也应该考虑以及这个假设的先验概率,而元分析方法的提出可看作对先验概率考虑的必然的逻辑结果;(2)零假设是可以接受的,但它的接受域只是备择假设接受域余集的一个子集;(3)传统的假设检验方法需要其他方法的补充。
根據假設檢驗原理的貝葉斯統計的錶達方式分析和迴應瞭心理學中對傳統的假設檢驗方法的主要批評。認為:(1)確定假設的接受域不僅要攷慮.同時也應該攷慮以及這箇假設的先驗概率,而元分析方法的提齣可看作對先驗概率攷慮的必然的邏輯結果;(2)零假設是可以接受的,但它的接受域隻是備擇假設接受域餘集的一箇子集;(3)傳統的假設檢驗方法需要其他方法的補充。
근거가설검험원리적패협사통계적표체방식분석화회응료심이학중대전통적가설검험방법적주요비평。인위:(1)학정가설적접수역불부요고필.동시야응해고필이급저개가설적선험개솔,이원분석방법적제출가간작대선험개솔고필적필연적라집결과;(2)령가설시가이접수적,단타적접수역지시비택가설접수역여집적일개자집;(3)전통적가설검험방법수요기타방법적보충。
Based on the principles of hypothesis-test in terms of Beyasian statistics, the article analysized and replied to psychological researchers' main criticisms about the classical hypothesis-test method. And the following conclusions were reached: (1)determining the accept-area for a hypothesis requires taking into account not only a, but also β and the prior-probability of the hypothesis and the production of meta-analysis may been seen as an inevitable logical result of taking the prior-probability into account; (2)null hypothesis can be accepted, but its accept-area is only a subset of the surplus-set of the accept-area for alternative hypothesis; (3)the classical hypothesis-test method can still be used in psychological research, but it should be suplemented by other data processing methods.