经济管理
經濟管理
경제관리
Economic Management Journal(EMJ)
2008年
16期
68~72
,共null页
中日韩三国自由贸易协定 引力模型 区域内贸易
中日韓三國自由貿易協定 引力模型 區域內貿易
중일한삼국자유무역협정 인력모형 구역내무역
China-Japan-Korea free trade agreement; gravity model; inner-region trade
根据中日韩三国贸易的实际情况,把影响中日韩三国的贸易主要因素确定为经济规模、人口、运输距离、制度安排等变量,并且进行回归分析,结果显示。制度安排对各国贸易的影响是均显著的。因此,中日韩三国自由贸易协定的缔结将促进区域内贸易的增长。
根據中日韓三國貿易的實際情況,把影響中日韓三國的貿易主要因素確定為經濟規模、人口、運輸距離、製度安排等變量,併且進行迴歸分析,結果顯示。製度安排對各國貿易的影響是均顯著的。因此,中日韓三國自由貿易協定的締結將促進區域內貿易的增長。
근거중일한삼국무역적실제정황,파영향중일한삼국적무역주요인소학정위경제규모、인구、운수거리、제도안배등변량,병차진행회귀분석,결과현시。제도안배대각국무역적영향시균현저적。인차,중일한삼국자유무역협정적체결장촉진구역내무역적증장。
Gravity Model is based on the Neton' s Law of universal gravitation, which as the model of international trade Approach to Bilateral Trade Flows. Tinbergen and Poyhonen, who applied it to the field of international trade respectively, so as to the research on the volume and direction of international trade was carried on. Later, the Gravity Model was developed by some scholars who adjusted the explanation of variables frequently. According to the practical situation of China, Japan and South Korea, it is certain that economic size, population, transport distance and institution are the basic factors which affect the trade, and as an important result of regression that the institution is most obviously. So, the conclusion of China-Japan-Korea Free Trade Agreement will positively bring a rapid growth for inner- region trade.