国土资源科技管理
國土資源科技管理
국토자원과기관리
Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources
2008年
4期
75~80
,共null页
非农建设用地 用地扩张 马尔柯夫 目标约束 柳州市
非農建設用地 用地擴張 馬爾柯伕 目標約束 柳州市
비농건설용지 용지확장 마이가부 목표약속 류주시
non-farming construction land ; land expansion ; Markov ; target constraint ; Liuzhou City
运用马尔柯夫和最优化理论和方法．通过非农建设用地扩张的趋势预测与系统优化下的非农建设用地扩张控制（目标预测）比较，探讨在多目标约束下，柳州市及城乡结合部非农建设用地控制的规模和方向。模型演绎结果表明：非农建设用地扩张的趋势预测与目标预测有比较大的差异，为实现非农建设用地扩张的控制目标应控制耕地和农用地转用，实行节约和集约利用土地，加大土地复垦和土地整理。
運用馬爾柯伕和最優化理論和方法．通過非農建設用地擴張的趨勢預測與繫統優化下的非農建設用地擴張控製（目標預測）比較，探討在多目標約束下，柳州市及城鄉結閤部非農建設用地控製的規模和方嚮。模型縯繹結果錶明：非農建設用地擴張的趨勢預測與目標預測有比較大的差異，為實現非農建設用地擴張的控製目標應控製耕地和農用地轉用，實行節約和集約利用土地，加大土地複墾和土地整理。
운용마이가부화최우화이론화방법．통과비농건설용지확장적추세예측여계통우화하적비농건설용지확장공제（목표예측）비교，탐토재다목표약속하，류주시급성향결합부비농건설용지공제적규모화방향。모형연역결과표명：비농건설용지확장적추세예측여목표예측유비교대적차이，위실현비농건설용지확장적공제목표응공제경지화농용지전용，실행절약화집약이용토지，가대토지복은화토지정리。
Applying Markov Theory and optimization theory and taking Liuzhou as an example, this paper compares the predicted tendency of non-farming construction land expansion with the controlled expansion （target forecast）and discusses the scale and orientation of non-farming construction land control in Liuzhou and urban fringe areas under the multipurpose constraint. The model illation indicates that there are great differences between predicted tendency and target forecast of non-farming construction land expansion, and that it is necessary to control the transition of cultivated land and farmland, to implement intensive and economical land use and to strengthen the land consolidation and reclamation for the achievement of non-farming construction land expansion control.
