CAJ | 학술논문

制造业是一个国家和地区经济发展的基石。改革开放30年来，山东省制造业发展迅速，并带动了制造业人力资源队伍的加速增长。要实现山东省从“制造业大省”到“制造业强省”、从“制造”到“创造”的跨越，人力资源的支持必不可少。分析改革开放30年来山东省制造业人力资源队伍建设取得的成绩及存在的问题，基于灰色理论对山东省制造业未来5年的人力资源需求进行预测，并运用残差检验、关联度检验和后验差检验进行模型检验，保证了预测结论的可靠性。预测结果表明：山东省政府的“承接日韩制造业转移，建设制造业强省”的政策支持使得山东省制造业人力资源需求总量保持增长态势。这一结论对山东省政府构建制造业的产业战略和人才发展战略将起到一定的借鉴意义。
제조업시일개국가화지구경제발전적기석。개혁개방30년래，산동성제조업발전신속，병대동료제조업인력자원대오적가속증장。요실현산동성종“제조업대성”도“제조업강성”、종“제조”도“창조”적과월，인력자원적지지필불가소。분석개혁개방30년래산동성제조업인력자원대오건설취득적성적급존재적문제，기우회색이론대산동성제조업미래5년적인력자원수구진행예측，병운용잔차검험、관련도검험화후험차검험진행모형검험，보증료예측결론적가고성。예측결과표명：산동성정부적“승접일한제조업전이，건설제조업강성”적정책지지사득산동성제조업인력자원수구총량보지증장태세。저일결론대산동성정부구건제조업적산업전략화인재발전전략장기도일정적차감의의。
Manufacturing industry is the foundamention of a nation＇s economic deveopment,the manufacturing industry of Shandong province gets a rapid development ＂after the reform and open policy has been practiced for 30 years, which also promotes the number of human resources.It is essential for the supply support of human resources in order to jump from industrial province to stronger manufacture industry. The article analyzes both achievements and problems in the team development of human resources after 30 years＇ development, forcasts the future demand of human resources of manufacturing industry in Shandong province based on the grey theory, and has a test with three methods. This article finds out that the human resources demand will keep increasing in order to fit with the development of Shandong manufacturing industry. The conclusion can help to build up the strategy of manufacturing industry and human resources of Shandong province.