国际经贸探索
國際經貿探索
국제경무탐색
International Economics and Trade Research
2008年
9期
34~37
,共null页
对外贸易 国内贸易 广东经济增长
對外貿易 國內貿易 廣東經濟增長
대외무역 국내무역 엄동경제증장
foreign trade; domestic trade; Guangdong＇ s economic growth
由于我国广东的市场化程度、经济实力、藏富于民的发展模式可能使国内贸易对广东经济增长作用更大。因此通过比较对外贸易、国内贸易与广东经济增长关系，实证分析表明：广东的经济增长与国内贸易的相关系数远远大于其与对外贸易指标的相关系数，国内贸易对广东经济增长的解释能力也远远大于对外贸易对广东经济增长的解释力。广东经济增长与国内贸易、对外贸易之间都存在协整关系，但GDP与国内贸易的误差修正机制更为显著。
由于我國廣東的市場化程度、經濟實力、藏富于民的髮展模式可能使國內貿易對廣東經濟增長作用更大。因此通過比較對外貿易、國內貿易與廣東經濟增長關繫，實證分析錶明：廣東的經濟增長與國內貿易的相關繫數遠遠大于其與對外貿易指標的相關繫數，國內貿易對廣東經濟增長的解釋能力也遠遠大于對外貿易對廣東經濟增長的解釋力。廣東經濟增長與國內貿易、對外貿易之間都存在協整關繫，但GDP與國內貿易的誤差脩正機製更為顯著。
유우아국엄동적시장화정도、경제실력、장부우민적발전모식가능사국내무역대엄동경제증장작용경대。인차통과비교대외무역、국내무역여엄동경제증장관계，실증분석표명：엄동적경제증장여국내무역적상관계수원원대우기여대외무역지표적상관계수，국내무역대엄동경제증장적해석능력야원원대우대외무역대엄동경제증장적해석력。엄동경제증장여국내무역、대외무역지간도존재협정관계，단GDP여국내무역적오차수정궤제경위현저。
This paper makes a comparative study of the relationship between foreign trade, domestic trade and Guangdong＇ s economic growth. Domestic trade might have more influence on economy growth because of the free market level, economic strength and ＂wealth in people＇ s hand＂ economic growth model. Through the empirical study, it concludes that： the correlation coefficient between GDP and domestic trade is larger than that between GDP and foreign trade; domestic trade has more explanatory capacity for Guangdong＇ s economic growth than foreign trade; co-integration exists between GDP, foreign trade and domestic trade, but variance correcting mechanism between GDP and domestic trade is more significant than that between GDP and foreign trade.
