CAJ | 학술논문

长期以来，尽管中部地区对外贸易取得了较快地发展，但在全国依然处于比较落后的地位。本文利用最新时间序列数据，通过建立多变量回归模型，对中部地区对外贸易的影响因素进行了实证分析。分析认为，中部地区出口贸易和进口贸易的影响因素存在很大差异。出口贸易影响因素主要是贸易条件、进口贸易和全社会固定资产投资；而进口贸易的主要影响因素是汇率、国内生产总值、外商直接投资和人力资本；很多影响因素对中部地区对外贸易没有起到应有的作用。
장기이래，진관중부지구대외무역취득료교쾌지발전，단재전국의연처우비교락후적지위。본문이용최신시간서렬수거，통과건립다변량회귀모형，대중부지구대외무역적영향인소진행료실증분석。분석인위，중부지구출구무역화진구무역적영향인소존재흔대차이。출구무역영향인소주요시무역조건、진구무역화전사회고정자산투자；이진구무역적주요영향인소시회솔、국내생산총치、외상직접투자화인력자본；흔다영향인소대중부지구대외무역몰유기도응유적작용。
Despite of central region foreign trade has got quicker field develop, but be in as before in the whole nation the position falling behind comparatively for a long time. Up-to-date time series data the main body of a book is made use of, the demonstration having been in progress by building the multivariate return model , to central region foreign trade influencing factor analyses. Analyse very big difference thinking , there existing in export trade and the import trade influencing factor central region： Export trade influencing factor is terms of trade , import trade and total investment in fixed assets for the whole society mainly, but that the import trade main part affects a factor is exchange rate , gross domestic product , foreign direct investment and human capital, Much influencing factor does not play arrive at due role to central region foreign trade.