林业经济问题
林業經濟問題
임업경제문제
Problems of Forestry Economics
2008年
6期
517~520
,共null页
刘维纳 洪伟 吴承祯 范海兰
劉維納 洪偉 吳承禎 範海蘭
류유납 홍위 오승정 범해란
林业 资金来源 预测 起伏型时间序列 福建省
林業 資金來源 預測 起伏型時間序列 福建省
임업 자금래원 예측 기복형시간서렬 복건성
forestry ; capital source ; prediction ; wave-type time series ; Fujian province
收集1988～2005年近20年间福建省林业资金来源的相关数据，分析林业资金来源渠道及其变化原因；运用起伏型时间序列对资金的动态变化进行定量预测，以国家预算内投资资金为例，拟合精度达到99．36％。最后，对改善福建省林业资金来源情况、拓宽资金来源渠道提出了相关政策性建议。
收集1988～2005年近20年間福建省林業資金來源的相關數據，分析林業資金來源渠道及其變化原因；運用起伏型時間序列對資金的動態變化進行定量預測，以國傢預算內投資資金為例，擬閤精度達到99．36％。最後，對改善福建省林業資金來源情況、拓寬資金來源渠道提齣瞭相關政策性建議。
수집1988～2005년근20년간복건성임업자금래원적상관수거，분석임업자금래원거도급기변화원인；운용기복형시간서렬대자금적동태변화진행정량예측，이국가예산내투자자금위례，의합정도체도99．36％。최후，대개선복건성임업자금래원정황、탁관자금래원거도제출료상관정책성건의。
By collecting the data about the capital source of forestry in Fujian province during the years 1988-2005, the capital source channels and their causes of change was analyzed in this paper. Then wave-type time series analysis was used to simulate the capital changes. As an illustration, the model of national budget investment was deduced, and its simulation precision reached 99.36%. Finally, the relevant advices to better the situation of the capital source and expand its channels were put forward for governmental reference.
