西安财经学院学报
西安財經學院學報
서안재경학원학보
Journal of Xi‘an Institute of Finance & Economics
2009年
1期
32~36
,共null页
陕西省 进口贸易 经济增长 协整分析
陝西省 進口貿易 經濟增長 協整分析
합서성 진구무역 경제증장 협정분석
Shaanxi province; import and export trade; economic growth; co-integration analysis
根据1985-2006年间统计数据,运用协整分析方法,对陕西省进口贸易与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:陕西省经济增长与进口贸易之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,地区经济增长明显促进了进口贸易的增加,而进口贸易对经济增长的影响并不显著。文章认为,实现陕西省进口贸易可持续发展,应拓展进口贸易空间,优化进口结构,推动加工贸易与引进外资齐头并举,相互促进。
根據1985-2006年間統計數據,運用協整分析方法,對陝西省進口貿易與經濟增長的關繫進行瞭實證研究。研究結果錶明:陝西省經濟增長與進口貿易之間存在著長期穩定的均衡關繫,地區經濟增長明顯促進瞭進口貿易的增加,而進口貿易對經濟增長的影響併不顯著。文章認為,實現陝西省進口貿易可持續髮展,應拓展進口貿易空間,優化進口結構,推動加工貿易與引進外資齊頭併舉,相互促進。
근거1985-2006년간통계수거,운용협정분석방법,대합서성진구무역여경제증장적관계진행료실증연구。연구결과표명:합서성경제증장여진구무역지간존재착장기은정적균형관계,지구경제증장명현촉진료진구무역적증가,이진구무역대경제증장적영향병불현저。문장인위,실현합서성진구무역가지속발전,응탁전진구무역공간,우화진구결구,추동가공무역여인진외자제두병거,상호촉진。
Based on the statistics of Shaanxi Province from 1985 to 2006, we study the relationship between the import trade and economic growth by using Cointegration Analysis. The results show as follows:seen from a long term, the impact of economic growth on the import is much larger than that of the import on economic growth. Eventually the author put forward the multipolicies implementations such as intensifying spatial expansion of import trade, optimizing the structure of product importation, pushing the processing trade and absorbing the foreign capital mutual promotion to fulfill the sustainable developments of import trade in Shaanxi Province.