改革与战略
改革與戰略
개혁여전략
Reformation & Strategy
2009年
1期
128~132
,共null页
可持续发展 系统动力学 模糊层次分析法
可持續髮展 繫統動力學 模糊層次分析法
가지속발전 계통동역학 모호층차분석법
sustainable development; system dynamic; fuzzy AHP
区域经济的发展,应该尽量避免重复以前因过分追求经济增长而导致生态环境被破坏和资源枯竭的发展道路。因此,文章在对区域经济发展运行体系结构进行具体分析的基础之上,运用系统动力学和区域经济方法,构建区域经济可持续发展的系统动力学模型,并以温州经济发展为例对所建模型进行验证分析。随后,引入群组决策中的模糊层次分析法。对不同的发展模式进行筛选排序,给出适合温州经济可持续发展的最优模式。通过对上述问题的研究,可以更好地为政府决策者提供区域经济可持续发展的理论依据与应对方案。
區域經濟的髮展,應該儘量避免重複以前因過分追求經濟增長而導緻生態環境被破壞和資源枯竭的髮展道路。因此,文章在對區域經濟髮展運行體繫結構進行具體分析的基礎之上,運用繫統動力學和區域經濟方法,構建區域經濟可持續髮展的繫統動力學模型,併以溫州經濟髮展為例對所建模型進行驗證分析。隨後,引入群組決策中的模糊層次分析法。對不同的髮展模式進行篩選排序,給齣適閤溫州經濟可持續髮展的最優模式。通過對上述問題的研究,可以更好地為政府決策者提供區域經濟可持續髮展的理論依據與應對方案。
구역경제적발전,응해진량피면중복이전인과분추구경제증장이도치생태배경피파배화자원고갈적발전도로。인차,문장재대구역경제발전운행체계결구진행구체분석적기출지상,운용계통동역학화구역경제방법,구건구역경제가지속발전적계통동역학모형,병이온주경제발전위례대소건모형진행험증분석。수후,인입군조결책중적모호층차분석법。대불동적발전모식진행사선배서,급출괄합온주경제가지속발전적최우모식。통과대상술문제적연구,가이경호지위정부결책자제공구역경제가지속발전적이론의거여응대방안。
The development of regional economy should keep away from the mode which ecological environment has been nearly destroyed and resources also have been mostly exhausted due to economic growth was pursued in excess by government. Therefore, after systemically analyzing the feature and the state of development, system model of sustainable economic development was created by using the tool of system dynamic and regional economics. Then different development modes are sifted and sorted by utilizing fuzzy AHP in group decision making in order to put forward the optimal development mode for Wenzhou Economic Zone. By studying the proposition mentioned above, an effective manipulating project and deciding model of sustainable development for government are brought forth rapidly.