CAJ | 학술논문

对现阶段及未来几年国内玉米供给及潜在需求形势的判断表明，我国玉米长期供不足需的局面不会改变、玉米供需缺口不容忽视。国家应加大宏观调控力度，稳定玉米市场价格；应创新支农信贷产品，保障生产资金供应；农资价格并不必然对农户玉米生产行为产生负面影响，调控农资价格需与其他政策配合实施；农户玉米生产中的风险规避因素明显，创新农业经营方式是保持粮食生产长期稳定的关键。
대현계단급미래궤년국내옥미공급급잠재수구형세적판단표명，아국옥미장기공불족수적국면불회개변、옥미공수결구불용홀시。국가응가대굉관조공력도，은정옥미시장개격；응창신지농신대산품，보장생산자금공응；농자개격병불필연대농호옥미생산행위산생부면영향，조공농자개격수여기타정책배합실시；농호옥미생산중적풍험규피인소명현，창신농업경영방식시보지양식생산장기은정적관건。
Estimation on the supplying and the potential demand in current and future several years, it shows that the the long-time shortage of corn in China will not change, and the gap between supply and demand can not be ignored. Our state should reinforce micro-control to stabilize the market price of corn; innovate the creditor financial products to ensure the supplyment of producing capital;adjust the price of agricultural faulties matched with other policies although their prices is not certainly to influence famers＇ producing behavior;innovate agricultural operation models which is the key to ensure long-time and steady increasing.