改革
改革
개혁
Reform
2009年
2期
81~87
,共null页
金融发展 农村金融 城乡收入差距 均衡发展
金融髮展 農村金融 城鄉收入差距 均衡髮展
금융발전 농촌금융 성향수입차거 균형발전
financial development, rural finance, urban-rural income disparity, balanced development
基于1986~2007年的统计数据,对我国各省份金融发展水平与城乡收入差距的因果关系进行的实证分析表明。从长期看,金融发展水平与城乡收入差距之间的因果关系不明显;从短期看,金融发展规模与城乡收入差距之间存在较明显的双向格兰杰因果关系,而金融发展效率与城乡收入差距之间的格兰杰因果关系不明显。应完善金融市场、促进区域间金融均衡发展、加大农村金融改革力度和稳定农村金融资源,在促进金融业整体协调发展中逐步提高金融业在缩小城乡收入差距中的作用。
基于1986~2007年的統計數據,對我國各省份金融髮展水平與城鄉收入差距的因果關繫進行的實證分析錶明。從長期看,金融髮展水平與城鄉收入差距之間的因果關繫不明顯;從短期看,金融髮展規模與城鄉收入差距之間存在較明顯的雙嚮格蘭傑因果關繫,而金融髮展效率與城鄉收入差距之間的格蘭傑因果關繫不明顯。應完善金融市場、促進區域間金融均衡髮展、加大農村金融改革力度和穩定農村金融資源,在促進金融業整體協調髮展中逐步提高金融業在縮小城鄉收入差距中的作用。
기우1986~2007년적통계수거,대아국각성빈금융발전수평여성향수입차거적인과관계진행적실증분석표명。종장기간,금융발전수평여성향수입차거지간적인과관계불명현;종단기간,금융발전규모여성향수입차거지간존재교명현적쌍향격란걸인과관계,이금융발전효솔여성향수입차거지간적격란걸인과관계불명현。응완선금융시장、촉진구역간금융균형발전、가대농촌금융개혁력도화은정농촌금융자원,재촉진금융업정체협조발전중축보제고금융업재축소성향수입차거중적작용。
Based on the statistical data of 1978-2007, we aim to identify empirically the causal relationship between regional financial development and urban-rural income disparity in China. We find that there is no obvious causal relation between financial development and urban-rural income disparity in the long run. Meanwhile, in the short run a bilateral Granger causality lies between financial development scale and urban-rural income disparity, and no obvious Granger causality exists between financial development efficiency and urban-rural income disparity. Therefore, in order to make financial industry play an important role in reducing urban-rural income disparity, we should improve the financial market, promote the balanced development of regional finance, strengthen rural financial re- form and stabilize rural financial resources.