国土资源科技管理
國土資源科技管理
국토자원과기관리
Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources
2009年
2期
125~130
,共null页
油气勘探 风险 风险评价 发展趋势
油氣勘探 風險 風險評價 髮展趨勢
유기감탐 풍험 풍험평개 발전추세
oil and gas exploration; risks ; risk assessment; tendency of research
油气勘探风险是当前石油天然气勘探开发研究领域的一个热点问题,其研究着重关注地质、技术、工程、生态环境等方面的不确定性对整个勘探投资项目产生的不利影响。油气勘探风险评价对降低勘探风险、提高企业效益具有重要意义。通过对油气勘探风险评价的国内外研究现状进行综述.指出评价方法的集成化、评价过程的动态化以及评价内容的全面化是目前研究的发展趋势。在此基础上,从研究的角度、方法和手段三个方面提出了今后的研究展望。
油氣勘探風險是噹前石油天然氣勘探開髮研究領域的一箇熱點問題,其研究著重關註地質、技術、工程、生態環境等方麵的不確定性對整箇勘探投資項目產生的不利影響。油氣勘探風險評價對降低勘探風險、提高企業效益具有重要意義。通過對油氣勘探風險評價的國內外研究現狀進行綜述.指齣評價方法的集成化、評價過程的動態化以及評價內容的全麵化是目前研究的髮展趨勢。在此基礎上,從研究的角度、方法和手段三箇方麵提齣瞭今後的研究展望。
유기감탐풍험시당전석유천연기감탐개발연구영역적일개열점문제,기연구착중관주지질、기술、공정、생태배경등방면적불학정성대정개감탐투자항목산생적불리영향。유기감탐풍험평개대강저감탐풍험、제고기업효익구유중요의의。통과대유기감탐풍험평개적국내외연구현상진행종술.지출평개방법적집성화、평개과정적동태화이급평개내용적전면화시목전연구적발전추세。재차기출상,종연구적각도、방법화수단삼개방면제출료금후적연구전망。
Oil and gas exploration risk is a hotspot in the present study of petroleum exploration and production, which mainly focuses on the uncertainties related to geology, technology, engineering and environment that may exert a negative impact on the whole exploration project. Evaluation of exploration risk has a great significance for reducing risk and improving efficiency. In order to manage the exploration program effectively, it is necessary to predict the probability of the adverse effects and their consequences. This paper summarizes the researches of oil and gas exploration risk assessment both at home and abroad, and points out that the current trend of research is integrated, dynamic as well as comprehensive. The paper discusses the areas that need to be further studied from the perspectives, methods and means of the research.