经济管理
經濟管理
경제관리
Economic Management Journal(EMJ)
2009年
4期
16~20
,共null页
金融海啸 泡沫危机 资源炒作 金融创新 金融监管
金融海嘯 泡沫危機 資源炒作 金融創新 金融鑑管
금융해소 포말위궤 자원초작 금융창신 금융감관
financial tsunami; economical bubble; resources' speculation; financial innovation; financial supervision
两场危机的本质,都是在一段时期内政府的经济金融政策连续使用不当造成流动性的严重泛滥和市场主体行为的集体非理性,进而诱发虚拟经济与实体经济同时出现巨大泡沫,最终导致全面金融与经济危机。从中得到的最大启示是:在任何情形下都要努力避免虚拟经济与实体经济同时出现巨大的泡沫;慎重看待经济增长与资产泡沫的关系;在泡沫彻底破灭前不要轻易“救市”,在泡沫彻底破灭后则“救市”要果断,方法要科学;还要注意在危机救援与自救的过程中防止“外伤”和“内伤”。
兩場危機的本質,都是在一段時期內政府的經濟金融政策連續使用不噹造成流動性的嚴重汎濫和市場主體行為的集體非理性,進而誘髮虛擬經濟與實體經濟同時齣現巨大泡沫,最終導緻全麵金融與經濟危機。從中得到的最大啟示是:在任何情形下都要努力避免虛擬經濟與實體經濟同時齣現巨大的泡沫;慎重看待經濟增長與資產泡沫的關繫;在泡沫徹底破滅前不要輕易“救市”,在泡沫徹底破滅後則“救市”要果斷,方法要科學;還要註意在危機救援與自救的過程中防止“外傷”和“內傷”。
량장위궤적본질,도시재일단시기내정부적경제금융정책련속사용불당조성류동성적엄중범람화시장주체행위적집체비이성,진이유발허의경제여실체경제동시출현거대포말,최종도치전면금융여경제위궤。종중득도적최대계시시:재임하정형하도요노력피면허의경제여실체경제동시출현거대적포말;신중간대경제증장여자산포말적관계;재포말철저파멸전불요경역“구시”,재포말철저파멸후칙“구시”요과단,방법요과학;환요주의재위궤구원여자구적과정중방지“외상”화“내상”。
Through comparison and study between the United States "financial tsunami" and Japanese "economical bubble" , we have found that they are in essence the fluidlyserious flooding and the collective non-rationality of the market main body behavior caused by theimproper and inefficient use ofthe government's economical financial policy over a period of time , which induces the appearance of the virtual economy and real economy's huge bubble at the same time and leads to a comprehensive financial and economic crisis eventually. The most important inspiration which is obtained from the two crises is:Under any circumstances we should try to avoid the appearance of the huge bubble coming from the virtual economy and real economy at the same time; we should take the relationship between the economic growth and the asset bubble seriously; we should not "rescue the market" in haste before the bubble has burst completely, and we should make a decisive decision to "rescue the market" after the bubble bursts thoroughly, we should use the scientific method , and make the good use of expectations.