系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2009年
6期
68~76
,共null页
张卫国 肖炜麟 徐维军 张惜丽
張衛國 肖煒麟 徐維軍 張惜麗
장위국 초위린 서유군 장석려
汇率期权 分数布朗运动 风险偏好 条件期望
彙率期權 分數佈朗運動 風險偏好 條件期望
회솔기권 분수포랑운동 풍험편호 조건기망
currency options; fractional Brownian motion; risk preference; conditional expectation
应用风险偏好和均衡定价方法,考虑了标的资产服从分数布朗运动下的汇率期权定价问题.首先利用条件期望构建了条件过程的联合密度函数,然后,基于历史有限信息推导出分数欧式汇率期权的闭式解.为了理解定价模型,进一步分析了赫斯特指数对定价结果的影响.最后,给出了基于GBP/USD期权的实证研究.不同模型的结果说明了汇率市场具有分形特性.
應用風險偏好和均衡定價方法,攷慮瞭標的資產服從分數佈朗運動下的彙率期權定價問題.首先利用條件期望構建瞭條件過程的聯閤密度函數,然後,基于歷史有限信息推導齣分數歐式彙率期權的閉式解.為瞭理解定價模型,進一步分析瞭赫斯特指數對定價結果的影響.最後,給齣瞭基于GBP/USD期權的實證研究.不同模型的結果說明瞭彙率市場具有分形特性.
응용풍험편호화균형정개방법,고필료표적자산복종분수포랑운동하적회솔기권정개문제.수선이용조건기망구건료조건과정적연합밀도함수,연후,기우역사유한신식추도출분수구식회솔기권적폐식해.위료리해정개모형,진일보분석료혁사특지수대정개결과적영향.최후,급출료기우GBP/USD기권적실증연구.불동모형적결과설명료회솔시장구유분형특성.
By applying risk preferences and equilibrium pricing approach, the problem of pricing currency options when the underlying asset follows a fractional Brownian process is considered in this paper. Firstly, the associated density of the conditional process is constructed using the conditional expectation. Then, an analytic solution for fractional European currency options is derived based on limited knowledge about the past. For the sake of understanding this pricing model, the influence of the Hurst parameter is also analyzed. Finally, an empirical study of GBP/USD option is presented. The pricing results of different models provide the evidence that the currency market has the fractal properties.