CAJ | 학술논문

基于淮河流域安徽段8个地市1998--2007年经济与环境统计数据，构建了淮河流域环境库兹涅茨曲线模型，系统分析了淮河流域经济增长与生态环境质量变迁的关系。研究结果表明，在考查期内，淮河流域人均GDP基本呈逐年递增趋势，工业废水排放量、工业废气排放量、工业固体废物产生量等环境污染指数均较高；淮河流域经济增长与生态环境之间的关系曲线基本呈现上升趋势，不完全符合典型的库兹涅茨曲线特征，伴随着经济快速增长的同时，生态环境也在不断恶化。因此，为保证淮河流域经济环境的协调发展，各级政府要不断增加环保经费投入，大力发展循环经济，注重开发洁净煤技术，充分挖掘旅游资源的潜力，大力加强环保执法力度，努力推进新型工业化道路。
기우회하류역안휘단8개지시1998--2007년경제여배경통계수거，구건료회하류역배경고자열자곡선모형，계통분석료회하류역경제증장여생태배경질량변천적관계。연구결과표명，재고사기내，회하류역인균GDP기본정축년체증추세，공업폐수배방량、공업폐기배방량、공업고체폐물산생량등배경오염지수균교고；회하류역경제증장여생태배경지간적관계곡선기본정현상승추세，불완전부합전형적고자열자곡선특정，반수착경제쾌속증장적동시，생태배경야재불단악화。인차，위보증회하류역경제배경적협조발전，각급정부요불단증가배보경비투입，대력발전순배경제，주중개발길정매기술，충분알굴여유자원적잠력，대력가강배보집법력도，노력추진신형공업화도로。
Based on empirical data of economy and environment from Huaihe river near Anhui Province between 1998 and 2007, this paper establishes a Kuzncts Curve model of Huaihe river basin and analyses systemically the relationship between economic growth and ecological environmental quality in Huaihe river basin. The result indicates that during the period of this research, GDP is increasing every year and discharge amount of industrial water waste, industrial gas waste and industrial solid waste are all large. Curves of the relationship between economic growth and ecological environment in Huaihe river basin are basically on the rising stage, out of accord with typical EKC. This shows that the ecological environment of the basin is deteriorating with rapid economic growth. Therefore, for sustainable development, the government should increase environmental input, develop recycling economy, focus on the development of clean coal technology, fully tap the potential of tourism resources and strengthen the enforcement of environmental protection to make efforts to promote a new road to industrialization.