CAJ | 학술논문

对自改革开放以来的四种能源消费与GDP数据进行统计分析,通过ADF单位根检验,运用计量模型,揭示出我国能源消费结构与经济增长之间客观的比例关系。得出促进我国经济增长的能源消费中煤炭的贡献最大,其次是电力、石油、天然气,这表明我国能源消费结构不合理。因此,一是坚持集约型经济发展方式,二是抓住金融危机带来的机会调整产业结构,带动能源消费结构的转变,三是加大新能源与对不可再生能源的替代能源的科研开发。
대자개혁개방이래적사충능원소비여GDP수거진행통계분석,통과ADF단위근검험,운용계량모형,게시출아국능원소비결구여경제증장지간객관적비례관계。득출촉진아국경제증장적능원소비중매탄적공헌최대,기차시전력、석유、천연기,저표명아국능원소비결구불합리。인차,일시견지집약형경제발전방식,이시조주금융위궤대래적궤회조정산업결구,대동능원소비결구적전변,삼시가대신능원여대불가재생능원적체대능원적과연개발。
This paper finds out the objective proportional relationship between our country structure of energy consumption and the economic growth, by the statistical analysis of four kinds energy consumption and the GDP data since reform and open policy,, using the ADF unit root examination and econometric model. Results show that among energy consumption, the coal contribution is the biggest factor promoting our country economic growth, next the electric power, the petroleum and the natural gas, which indicates that the structure of energy consumption is unreasonable in our country. Therefore, it should firstly insist the intensive economic development way; Secondly, it should adjust industrial structure holding the opportunity of the financial crisis brings, and promote the transformation of the energy consumption structure; thirdly, it should enlarge scientific research development of the new energy and the renewable energy source energy alternative.