南方金融
南方金融
남방금융
South China Finance
2009年
8期
16~20
,共null页
虚拟经济 实体经济 有序发展
虛擬經濟 實體經濟 有序髮展
허의경제 실체경제 유서발전
Fictitious Economy; Real Economy; Ordered Development
随着国际金融危机的蔓延和发展,虚拟经济与实体经济的发展问题日益成为学界关注和讨论的热点。本文从理论层面探讨了虚拟经济与实体经济的关系,分别从股票市场、债券市场、期货市场与物质产业部门等方面分析我国虚拟经济与实体经济的发展现状,通过协整分析和格兰杰因果关系检验方法对两者的相互关系进行分析,进而提出并剖析存在问题,最后结合我国实际,从四方面提出促进虚拟经济与实体经济有序发展的对策建议。
隨著國際金融危機的蔓延和髮展,虛擬經濟與實體經濟的髮展問題日益成為學界關註和討論的熱點。本文從理論層麵探討瞭虛擬經濟與實體經濟的關繫,分彆從股票市場、債券市場、期貨市場與物質產業部門等方麵分析我國虛擬經濟與實體經濟的髮展現狀,通過協整分析和格蘭傑因果關繫檢驗方法對兩者的相互關繫進行分析,進而提齣併剖析存在問題,最後結閤我國實際,從四方麵提齣促進虛擬經濟與實體經濟有序髮展的對策建議。
수착국제금융위궤적만연화발전,허의경제여실체경제적발전문제일익성위학계관주화토론적열점。본문종이론층면탐토료허의경제여실체경제적관계,분별종고표시장、채권시장、기화시장여물질산업부문등방면분석아국허의경제여실체경제적발전현상,통과협정분석화격란걸인과관계검험방법대량자적상호관계진행분석,진이제출병부석존재문제,최후결합아국실제,종사방면제출촉진허의경제여실체경제유서발전적대책건의。
With the spread and development of global financial crisis, the development of fictitious economy and real economy has become a hot topic in the academic circle. This paper first explores the relationship between fictitious economy and real economy on a theoretical level. Then it analyzes the current status of the fictitious economy and real economy in our country from the aspects of stock market, securities market, option market and commodity producing industry. It adopts co-integration method and Granger Test of Causality to explore the mutual relationship of the two, and then presents and specifies existing problems. In the end, this paper proposes several countermeasures and suggestions to facilitate the ordered development of fictitious economy and real economy from four perspectives.