CAJ | 학술논문

农民收入水平低、消费不力一直是制约我国经济增长的大问题。研究表明：收入与消费倾向负相关。且持久收入弹性小于暂时收入弹性，利率与消费倾向显著正相关，这暗示：由于对未来的支出存在悲观预期，农民更注重将持久性收入列入储蓄计划，而将利息收入、外出务工收入等额外的暂时性收入用于改善生活。农业投入不足是农村消费市场疲软的最根本原因。价格对农民消费行为的影响具有滞后性。因此，启动内需，关键在于改善农村消费环境，拓宽就业渠道，减轻农民负担。
농민수입수평저、소비불력일직시제약아국경제증장적대문제。연구표명：수입여소비경향부상관。차지구수입탄성소우잠시수입탄성，리솔여소비경향현저정상관，저암시：유우대미래적지출존재비관예기，농민경주중장지구성수입렬입저축계화，이장이식수입、외출무공수입등액외적잠시성수입용우개선생활。농업투입불족시농촌소비시장피연적최근본원인。개격대농민소비행위적영향구유체후성。인차，계동내수，관건재우개선농촌소비배경，탁관취업거도，감경농민부담。
Peasants＇ low income and consumption is a big problem which constrains China＇ s economic development. Researches show that： income and consumption tendency are negatively related; persistent income elasticity is lower than temporary income elasticity;rate of interests and consumption tendency have an obviously positive relation. The results suggest that： peasants pay more attention to considering persistent income into savings plan due to pessimistic expectation on future spending; and they use temporary income, such as interests income and out - working income, to improve living standard. Insufficient input in agriculture is the fundamental reason for the sluggish rural consumption market. The influence of price on peasants＇ consumption behavior is hysteretie. As a result, the key to motivating domestic demand lies in improving rural consumption environment, expanding employment channels, and relieving peasants＇ burden.