系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2009年
9期
115~124
,共null页
杨善林 朱克毓 付超 卢广彦
楊善林 硃剋毓 付超 盧廣彥
양선림 주극육 부초 로엄언
群决策 从众行为 羊群行为 伪羊群行为
群決策 從衆行為 羊群行為 偽羊群行為
군결책 종음행위 양군행위 위양군행위
cellular automata; group decision; conformity; herd behavior
在群决策研究中,由于决策者的私有信息难以观察,致使无法有效地区分真实从众行为和虚假从众行为.针对这一问题,首先基于从众角度将决策行为分为三类,在此基础上,提出了一种基于元胞自动机的群决策从众行为演化模型.该模型能够模拟群体的决策行为,揭示伪从众行为对群决策的影响.仿真实验结果表明从众偏好、群体交互次数和群体规模对三类从众行为存在明显的影响,并有规律可循.
在群決策研究中,由于決策者的私有信息難以觀察,緻使無法有效地區分真實從衆行為和虛假從衆行為.針對這一問題,首先基于從衆角度將決策行為分為三類,在此基礎上,提齣瞭一種基于元胞自動機的群決策從衆行為縯化模型.該模型能夠模擬群體的決策行為,揭示偽從衆行為對群決策的影響.倣真實驗結果錶明從衆偏好、群體交互次數和群體規模對三類從衆行為存在明顯的影響,併有規律可循.
재군결책연구중,유우결책자적사유신식난이관찰,치사무법유효지구분진실종음행위화허가종음행위.침대저일문제,수선기우종음각도장결책행위분위삼류,재차기출상,제출료일충기우원포자동궤적군결책종음행위연화모형.해모형능구모의군체적결책행위,게시위종음행위대군결책적영향.방진실험결과표명종음편호、군체교호차수화군체규모대삼류종음행위존재명현적영향,병유규률가순.
In the study of group decision, it is difficult to distinguish between genuine conformity and spurious conformity for the reason that the decision-maker's information is hard to be observed. In response to this problem, the paper here first divides the decision behavior into three categories from the view of conformity, and then puts forward an evolutionary model for group decision conformity on the basis of cellular automata. This model can simulate group decision behavior and reveM spurious conformity's influence on group decision. The simulation experiments show the conformity preference, group communication times and group scale have influences on the three conformity behaviors.