CAJ | 학술논문

随着中国经济的快速发展，财政支农支出规模不断扩大。文章在拉姆赛-卡斯-库普曼模型的基础上，根据1978--2006年中国最终消费、资本形成总额、进出口总额和财政收支数据，运用计量经济学和最优化理论对中国经济平稳增长路径下的财政支农支出进行了经验研究。通过MATLAB计算可知，从现在到2010年，要实现中国经济的平稳增长，最终消费支出、资本形成总额和进出口总额分别为147200亿元、172040亿元和331460亿元，最优财政支农支出规模为4958．7亿元。
수착중국경제적쾌속발전，재정지농지출규모불단확대。문장재랍모새-잡사-고보만모형적기출상，근거1978--2006년중국최종소비、자본형성총액、진출구총액화재정수지수거，운용계량경제학화최우화이론대중국경제평은증장로경하적재정지농지출진행료경험연구。통과MATLAB계산가지，종현재도2010년，요실현중국경제적평은증장，최종소비지출、자본형성총액화진출구총액분별위147200억원、172040억원화331460억원，최우재정지농지출규모위4958．7억원。
With the growing up of China＇ s economy, government expenditure for supporting agriculture increases rapidly. On the basis of the model of Ramsey, Cass and Koopmans, this thesis analyzes the data of final consumption expenditures, gross capital formation and total value of imports and exports detailedly during the course of 1978--2006. The econometric and linear programming theorem are introduced to investigate the government expenditure for supporting agriculture on the stable path of China＇ s economic growth. The article suggests that final consumption expenditures, gross capital formation and total value of imports and exports should be 14720 billion yuan, 17204 billion yuan and 33146 billion yuan from 2006 to 2010 in order to achieve the stable growth of economy in China. Simultaneously,we can figure out the optimal government expenditure for supporting agriculture which is 495.87 billion yuan through the calculation of Matrix Laboratory.