当代亚太
噹代亞太
당대아태
Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies
2009年
6期
106~118
,共null页
奥巴马政府 核不扩散政策 变化动因
奧巴馬政府 覈不擴散政策 變化動因
오파마정부 핵불확산정책 변화동인
Obama Administration / Nuclear Nonproliferation Policy / Change / Cause / Influence
奥巴马政府上台后,美国核不扩散政策出现了重要转变。这一转变既是奥巴马政府对布什政府核不扩散政策进行反思的结果,又是修复美国国际形象和维护其世界领导地位的战略需要,更是美国对朝鲜和伊朗的核开发问题施加压力的一种手段。奥巴马政府对美国核不扩散政策的调整,有利于国际核军控工作走上正轨;将对中国产生多重影响;对地区核问题的解决所产生的效果具有不确定性。
奧巴馬政府上檯後,美國覈不擴散政策齣現瞭重要轉變。這一轉變既是奧巴馬政府對佈什政府覈不擴散政策進行反思的結果,又是脩複美國國際形象和維護其世界領導地位的戰略需要,更是美國對朝鮮和伊朗的覈開髮問題施加壓力的一種手段。奧巴馬政府對美國覈不擴散政策的調整,有利于國際覈軍控工作走上正軌;將對中國產生多重影響;對地區覈問題的解決所產生的效果具有不確定性。
오파마정부상태후,미국핵불확산정책출현료중요전변。저일전변기시오파마정부대포십정부핵불확산정책진행반사적결과,우시수복미국국제형상화유호기세계령도지위적전략수요,경시미국대조선화이랑적핵개발문제시가압력적일충수단。오파마정부대미국핵불확산정책적조정,유리우국제핵군공공작주상정궤;장대중국산생다중영향;대지구핵문제적해결소산생적효과구유불학정성。
After United States President Barack Obama came into office, US nuclear nonproliferation policies underwent radical transformations. These shifts are in part due to the review by Obama's administration on the nuclear nonproliferation policies of its predecessor, and in part owing to the efforts at improving the US international image and the strategic need to safeguard US leadership in world affairs. Most importantly, however, it is deemed a means to exert more pressures on North Korean and Iranian nuclear programs. Obama's changes to US nuclear nonproliferation policies are indeed helpful at putting international nuclear arms control efforts back on track. To China, USes new policy direction will bring forth multiple effects-both positive as well as negative ones. Sino-US cooperation on nuclear nonproliferation will be carried over from the Bush era, while China will benefit from the overall improvement in international security environment; however, China will need to be wary of the possible constrains to its rise, threats to its "minimal deterrence" nuclear capacity, a marginalization of its role in the Six-party Talks, as well as the uncertainties that Obama's new nuclear non-proliferation initiatives can effect on regional stability so essential to China's peaceful development.