CAJ | 학술논문

用人均GDP的标准差、变异系数、基尼系数、σ系数及经济增长率的标准差分别测算了1999年至2007年西部地区12省内部经济发展的总体差异，发现西部大开发政策实施以来，西部地区内部差距逐渐拉大，这不但表现在西部12省（市、区）的总体差异，而且表现在地理位置相近的西南地区各省份之间、西北地区各省份之间，以及收入水平相当的高收入省份之间、低收入省份之间。借用马尔可夫链方法考察单个省份的经济发展行为变化，发现西部地区已经形成了两个分别向高水平和低水平演进的趋同集团，且稳定性很高。
용인균GDP적표준차、변이계수、기니계수、σ계수급경제증장솔적표준차분별측산료1999년지2007년서부지구12성내부경제발전적총체차이，발현서부대개발정책실시이래，서부지구내부차거축점랍대，저불단표현재서부12성（시、구）적총체차이，이차표현재지리위치상근적서남지구각성빈지간、서북지구각성빈지간，이급수입수평상당적고수입성빈지간、저수입성빈지간。차용마이가부련방법고찰단개성빈적경제발전행위변화，발현서부지구이경형성료량개분별향고수평화저수평연진적추동집단，차은정성흔고。
We use the standard deviation of GDP per capita, the Variation Cofficient, Gini Coefficient, Coefficient and eco nomie growth rate to measure the overall disparity of GDP per capita of Western China （including twelve provinces） from 1999 to 2007. The results show that the provincial disparity of Western region has been increasing since the Large-Scale Development. It is shown that the overall disparity as a whole of the twelve members, the overall disparity of the neigh-boring provinces, the gap between the high income groups and the low income groups are all increasing. Based on Markov Chain Theory, we analyze the modification of economic development of the provinces. And the results show that the economic position of the two groups, the high income groups and the low income groups, is highly stable.