南京农业大学学报：社会科学版
南京農業大學學報：社會科學版
남경농업대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
2009年
4期
47~52
,共null页
金融危机 农产品贸易 影响机制 实证分析
金融危機 農產品貿易 影響機製 實證分析
금융위궤 농산품무역 영향궤제 실증분석
Financial Crisis; Agriculture Products Trade; Impact Mechanism; Empirical Study
金融危机通过汇率传导机制、需求传导机制、贸易传导机制等角度影响着中国的农产品贸易。随着金融危机向更深层次发展,中国农产品出口相对进口增速日趋减缓、农产品贸易逆差不断扩大。在分析金融危机对中国农产品贸易影响机制的基础上,通过实证分析量化了金融危机的影响程度,最后根据结论提出了调控汇率、调整农产品出口战略以及提高农产品出口竞争力等促进中国农产品贸易发展的政策建议。
金融危機通過彙率傳導機製、需求傳導機製、貿易傳導機製等角度影響著中國的農產品貿易。隨著金融危機嚮更深層次髮展,中國農產品齣口相對進口增速日趨減緩、農產品貿易逆差不斷擴大。在分析金融危機對中國農產品貿易影響機製的基礎上,通過實證分析量化瞭金融危機的影響程度,最後根據結論提齣瞭調控彙率、調整農產品齣口戰略以及提高農產品齣口競爭力等促進中國農產品貿易髮展的政策建議。
금융위궤통과회솔전도궤제、수구전도궤제、무역전도궤제등각도영향착중국적농산품무역。수착금융위궤향경심층차발전,중국농산품출구상대진구증속일추감완、농산품무역역차불단확대。재분석금융위궤대중국농산품무역영향궤제적기출상,통과실증분석양화료금융위궤적영향정도,최후근거결론제출료조공회솔、조정농산품출구전략이급제고농산품출구경쟁력등촉진중국농산품무역발전적정책건의。
The financial crisis has brought about a certain degree of influence on the trade of China＇s agricultural products through the exchange rate transmission mechanism, the demand transmission mechanism and the trade transmission mechanism. The growth rate of exports in relation to imports slowed down, and the adverse balance of trade continued to expand. This paper tries to quantify the specific impact on the exports of China＇s agricultural products by an empirical study based on the analysis on the trade mechanism. Finally, we give some policy recommendations based on the analysis： strengthening the adjustment of exchange rate, adjusting the agricultural trade strategy and improving the exports competitiveness of agricultural products and so on.
