中国农业大学学报：社会科学版
中國農業大學學報：社會科學版
중국농업대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of China Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
2009年
4期
139~144
,共null页
农产品贸易 逆差 剧增 价格 贡献率
農產品貿易 逆差 劇增 價格 貢獻率
농산품무역 역차 극증 개격 공헌솔
Agricultural trade; Deficit; Mutation; Price; The contribution rate
2008年我国农产品贸易逆差剧增至181.6亿美元,远远超过此前各年的逆差水平。文章从进出口贸易结构、产品结构和重点产品价格及数量的角度对此次农产品贸易逆差的形成进行了结构分析,并采用贡献率测算的方法分析了重点农产品进口中价格的作用。研究结果表明,2008年我国农产品贸易逆差急剧扩大是进口价格驱动下形成的短期现象,应理性看待。建议积极促进出口贸易的发展,完善农产品进口预警和防御的快速反应机制,以避免农产品贸易逆差剧增现象的发生。
2008年我國農產品貿易逆差劇增至181.6億美元,遠遠超過此前各年的逆差水平。文章從進齣口貿易結構、產品結構和重點產品價格及數量的角度對此次農產品貿易逆差的形成進行瞭結構分析,併採用貢獻率測算的方法分析瞭重點農產品進口中價格的作用。研究結果錶明,2008年我國農產品貿易逆差急劇擴大是進口價格驅動下形成的短期現象,應理性看待。建議積極促進齣口貿易的髮展,完善農產品進口預警和防禦的快速反應機製,以避免農產品貿易逆差劇增現象的髮生。
2008년아국농산품무역역차극증지181.6억미원,원원초과차전각년적역차수평。문장종진출구무역결구、산품결구화중점산품개격급수량적각도대차차농산품무역역차적형성진행료결구분석,병채용공헌솔측산적방법분석료중점농산품진구중개격적작용。연구결과표명,2008년아국농산품무역역차급극확대시진구개격구동하형성적단기현상,응이성간대。건의적겁촉진출구무역적발전,완선농산품진구예경화방어적쾌속반응궤제,이피면농산품무역역차극증현상적발생。
China＇s agricultural trade deficit jumped to a record of $ 18.16 billion in 2008, far more than the deficit be- fore. The authors analysis this problem based on the perspective of import and export structure, product structure as well as the price and volume of important agricultural products. The authors also analyze the contribution of price in increase of the value of important agricultural products. The results show that the rapid expansion of agricultural trade deficit in 2008 is a short-term phenomenon, which is driven by the surged price of import agricultural products, the authors suggest people should have an objective attitude to it. China should take an active part to promote the development of export, improve the early warning and rapid response defense mechanism of agricultural imports to avoid agricultural trade deficit increase sharply in the future.
