CAJ | 학술논문

中国从20世纪90年代中后期开始成为石油净进口国，石油在经济发展中的瓶颈作用渐趋明显，国际油价的剧烈波动严重影响我国经济增长和社会发展的可持续性。研究表明，石油价格上涨改变了居民对能耗产品的消费结构，节能型产品较之耗能产品更有市场，同时还会降低居民其他非能耗性产品的消费；若PPI向CPI转嫁渠道不畅，石油价格上涨会造成严重的产能闲置，企业开丁不足，进而造成严重失业；石油价格上涨会造成能源及相关产品的贸易逆差扩大，一般非能源类商品出口减少。有鉴于此，应当增强政府对能源产品指导定价的科学性，尽可能尊重市场；能源价格与国际接轨、提高加工贸易能耗成本，促进经常账户平衡；深化要素市场改革、促进要素自由流动，降低能源价格波动对消费结构的扭曲效应。
중국종20세기90년대중후기개시성위석유정진구국，석유재경제발전중적병경작용점추명현，국제유개적극렬파동엄중영향아국경제증장화사회발전적가지속성。연구표명，석유개격상창개변료거민대능모산품적소비결구，절능형산품교지모능산품경유시장，동시환회강저거민기타비능모성산품적소비；약PPI향CPI전가거도불창，석유개격상창회조성엄중적산능한치，기업개정불족，진이조성엄중실업；석유개격상창회조성능원급상관산품적무역역차확대，일반비능원류상품출구감소。유감우차，응당증강정부대능원산품지도정개적과학성，진가능존중시장；능원개격여국제접궤、제고가공무역능모성본，촉진경상장호평형；심화요소시장개혁、촉진요소자유류동，강저능원개격파동대소비결구적뉴곡효응。
China, as a new market country, has witnessed rapid economic growth in the past 30 years. However, en- ergy problem has recently become the obstacle to economy. It is therefore important to oberve the relationship between oil price, economic growth and sustainable development. It is found that the rise of oil price can change people＇s con- sumption structure for energy products and non-energy products, increase unemployment rate and cause relative energy product trade deficit. The paper hence provides a set of counter measures for the problems.