CAJ | 학술논문

由于各国经济利益不一致，气候变化谈判博弈艰难。在这种形势下，人口控制对减少温室气体排放的意义，近来被国际社会部分人士及中国政府重新提及，值得关注。自1972年世界环境大会以来，发达国家对世界人口问题的看法发生过180度的转变，否认发展中国家人口快速增长对经济的不利作用，否认人口与环境问题相关的观点，渐成西方学术界主流，由学术界蔓延到西方政府，并深刻影响着发展中国家许多学者的认识。文章论述了人口规模对温室气体排放的影响，试分析了上述西方主流观点在研究方法上存在的问题。目前，中国正进入快速工业化阶段，对庞大人口不断放大的经济、资源、环境影响，本文认为必须有极为清醒的认识。
유우각국경제이익불일치，기후변화담판박혁간난。재저충형세하，인구공제대감소온실기체배방적의의，근래피국제사회부분인사급중국정부중신제급，치득관주。자1972년세계배경대회이래，발체국가대세계인구문제적간법발생과180도적전변，부인발전중국가인구쾌속증장대경제적불리작용，부인인구여배경문제상관적관점，점성서방학술계주류，유학술계만연도서방정부，병심각영향착발전중국가허다학자적인식。문장논술료인구규모대온실기체배방적영향，시분석료상술서방주류관점재연구방법상존재적문제。목전，중국정진입쾌속공업화계단，대방대인구불단방대적경제、자원、배경영향，본문인위필수유겁위청성적인식。
This article argues that size and growth of population play an important role on greenhouse gas emissions. It challenges the mainstream Western views that rapid population growth in developing countries seemed to have no adverse effects on their economy and environment. The author believes that the views suffer from problems in research methodology. Since China now is entering a stage of rapid industrialization, the author warns that we should have a very clear understanding of the large population of China that will exert increasing influence on economy, resource, and environment.