CAJ | 학술논문

无论是从人均GDP水平还是从农业劳动力在全社会的就业比重来看，中国目前的经济发展都处于中等收入发展中国家的平均水平。中国当前最为严重的宏观问题是整个国民经济中的失业率持续攀升，经济增长速度放慢，经济不活跃。产生这一系列问题的原因既有国际经济衰退的影响，也有国内长期内需不足的因素。针对这些问题，中国政府在总量政策、货币政策与财政政策的结合方式、汇率政策、强调需求还是强调供给等宏观经济政策的四个方面作出了一系列的调整。关于中国经济未来的前景，近期主要是反衰退；中期是防滞涨；长期要解决的问题则是发展方式的转变，即科学发展观的落实问题。
무론시종인균GDP수평환시종농업노동력재전사회적취업비중래간，중국목전적경제발전도처우중등수입발전중국가적평균수평。중국당전최위엄중적굉관문제시정개국민경제중적실업솔지속반승，경제증장속도방만，경제불활약。산생저일계렬문제적원인기유국제경제쇠퇴적영향，야유국내장기내수불족적인소。침대저사문제，중국정부재총량정책、화폐정책여재정정책적결합방식、회솔정책、강조수구환시강조공급등굉관경제정책적사개방면작출료일계렬적조정。관우중국경제미래적전경，근기주요시반쇠퇴；중기시방체창；장기요해결적문제칙시발전방식적전변，즉과학발전관적락실문제。
Abstract： Either from the per capita GDP or from the employment proportion of rural labor in the whole society, China＇s current economic development can be seen on the average level of middle-income developing countries. At present, the most serious macroscopic problem for China is that the unemployment rate keeps rising in the whole national economy together with slow- down economy and sluggish growth. The reasons for such series of difficulties come from not only the impact of international eco- nomic recession but also the long-term insufficient domestic demand. Accordingly, China＇s government has made a series of adjustments in the four aspects concerning maeroeeonomic policy including the economic aggregate policy, the combination of monetary policy and fiscal policy, the exchange rate policy, and the emphasis on demand or supply. As to the prospect for China＇s economy, it will be anti-recession in the near future, anti-stagflation in the medium-term, and change the way of development for the long run to adopt the scientific outlook on development.