中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2010年
3期
95~99
,共null页
杨剑 蒲英霞 秦贤宏 何一鸣
楊劍 蒲英霞 秦賢宏 何一鳴
양검 포영하 진현굉 하일명
人口分布 空间格局 演变 浙江省
人口分佈 空間格跼 縯變 浙江省
인구분포 공간격국 연변 절강성
population distribution; spatial pattern; evolution; Zhejiang province
改革开放以来,随着经济社会的快速发展,浙江省各地区人口分布发生了明显的变化。文章运用空间白相关、不均衡系数、人口重心和偏移增长法,对浙江省69个县级行政单元人口分布的空闰格局及其在1985—2007年闻的时空演变特征进行了深入分析。并得出以下几点结论:①浙江省人口密度分布具有“点一带一区”结构特征,即以经济发展水平高的地区为高值点,通过杭甬高速和甬台温高速将各高值点连接成带,其他地区则形成人口密度低值区;②浙江省人口分布存在一定的空间关联性,在浙东北环杭州湾地区和浙东南沿海地区呈现高高集聚,在浙中和西南内陆地区呈现低低集聚;③浙江省人口量不均衡分布状态,并且人口不均衡系数不断增大;④浙江省人口偏移增长在三大区域之间具有明显差异,浙东南沿海地区人口总偏移量为正,浙东北环杭州湾地区基本稳定。浙中和西南内陆地区为负,人口重心逐渐向东南沿海偏移。
改革開放以來,隨著經濟社會的快速髮展,浙江省各地區人口分佈髮生瞭明顯的變化。文章運用空間白相關、不均衡繫數、人口重心和偏移增長法,對浙江省69箇縣級行政單元人口分佈的空閏格跼及其在1985—2007年聞的時空縯變特徵進行瞭深入分析。併得齣以下幾點結論:①浙江省人口密度分佈具有“點一帶一區”結構特徵,即以經濟髮展水平高的地區為高值點,通過杭甬高速和甬檯溫高速將各高值點連接成帶,其他地區則形成人口密度低值區;②浙江省人口分佈存在一定的空間關聯性,在浙東北環杭州灣地區和浙東南沿海地區呈現高高集聚,在浙中和西南內陸地區呈現低低集聚;③浙江省人口量不均衡分佈狀態,併且人口不均衡繫數不斷增大;④浙江省人口偏移增長在三大區域之間具有明顯差異,浙東南沿海地區人口總偏移量為正,浙東北環杭州灣地區基本穩定。浙中和西南內陸地區為負,人口重心逐漸嚮東南沿海偏移。
개혁개방이래,수착경제사회적쾌속발전,절강성각지구인구분포발생료명현적변화。문장운용공간백상관、불균형계수、인구중심화편이증장법,대절강성69개현급행정단원인구분포적공윤격국급기재1985—2007년문적시공연변특정진행료심입분석。병득출이하궤점결론:①절강성인구밀도분포구유“점일대일구”결구특정,즉이경제발전수평고적지구위고치점,통과항용고속화용태온고속장각고치점련접성대,기타지구칙형성인구밀도저치구;②절강성인구분포존재일정적공간관련성,재절동북배항주만지구화절동남연해지구정현고고집취,재절중화서남내륙지구정현저저집취;③절강성인구량불균형분포상태,병차인구불균형계수불단증대;④절강성인구편이증장재삼대구역지간구유명현차이,절동남연해지구인구총편이량위정,절동북배항주만지구기본은정。절중화서남내륙지구위부,인구중심축점향동남연해편이。
Economy is the engine of population growth. With the development of Zhejiang' s economy and its urbanization process, the amount of Zhejiang population is growing rapidly, and population distribution among cities has undergone significant change. In order to understand the characteristics of the spatial distribution pattern and the spatio-temporal dynamics of Zhejiang population, we use Spatial Autocorrelation, Unbalanced Coefficient, Population Gravity Center and Shift-Share Analysis to analyze the 69 cities (counties) between 1985 and 2007. The empirical results show that: (1) The, population density distribution in Zhejiang presents "Point-Bands-Region" structure that considers regiorrs at higher economic development level as high value points, links these high value points to bands by Hang-Yong and Yong-Tai-Wen expressways, and sees the other regions as low value regions. (2) The population distribution displays space correlation, and presents "High-high Concentration" around Hangzhou Bay region of Northeast Zhejiang and Southeast Zhejiang Coastal Area. (3) The population distribution is much more inbalanced and Unbalanced Coefficient increases gradually. (4) Population deviation growth among three regions has obvious differences, such as the total offset in Southeast Zhejiang Coastal Area being positive, basically stable in Hangzhou Bay region of Northeast Zhejiang and negative in the last region, and the population gravity center moving to the south of Zhejiang gradually.