财经研究
財經研究
재경연구
The Study of Finance and Economics
2010年
3期
77~89
,共null页
溢出效应 邻省发展水平 分割
溢齣效應 鄰省髮展水平 分割
일출효응 린성발전수평 분할
spillover effect; development level of neighboring provinces; segmentation
文章基于中国30个省市1979—2008年的面板数据,通过引入邻省发展水平及其细分变量,实证分析了中国区际增长溢出效应的差异性以及区域经济运行空间的分割问题。结果发现:全国及分区域的样本范围内都存在溢出效应;相邻的东部地区与中部地区之间形成了一种单向溢出效应,即与东部相邻的中部地区的经济发展对东部地区的经济增长产生了溢出效应而不是相反;相邻的中部地区和西部地区之间形成了一种良性的双向互动格局;我国目前的区域经济运行形成了以东部地区外向型和中西部地区内向型为主要类型的两种经济运行系统,且这两种经济运行系统之间缺乏互动性,形成了相互分割的两种经济运行空间,这是影响我国区域经济协调发展的根本原因。
文章基于中國30箇省市1979—2008年的麵闆數據,通過引入鄰省髮展水平及其細分變量,實證分析瞭中國區際增長溢齣效應的差異性以及區域經濟運行空間的分割問題。結果髮現:全國及分區域的樣本範圍內都存在溢齣效應;相鄰的東部地區與中部地區之間形成瞭一種單嚮溢齣效應,即與東部相鄰的中部地區的經濟髮展對東部地區的經濟增長產生瞭溢齣效應而不是相反;相鄰的中部地區和西部地區之間形成瞭一種良性的雙嚮互動格跼;我國目前的區域經濟運行形成瞭以東部地區外嚮型和中西部地區內嚮型為主要類型的兩種經濟運行繫統,且這兩種經濟運行繫統之間缺乏互動性,形成瞭相互分割的兩種經濟運行空間,這是影響我國區域經濟協調髮展的根本原因。
문장기우중국30개성시1979—2008년적면판수거,통과인입린성발전수평급기세분변량,실증분석료중국구제증장일출효응적차이성이급구역경제운행공간적분할문제。결과발현:전국급분구역적양본범위내도존재일출효응;상린적동부지구여중부지구지간형성료일충단향일출효응,즉여동부상린적중부지구적경제발전대동부지구적경제증장산생료일출효응이불시상반;상린적중부지구화서부지구지간형성료일충량성적쌍향호동격국;아국목전적구역경제운행형성료이동부지구외향형화중서부지구내향형위주요류형적량충경제운행계통,차저량충경제운행계통지간결핍호동성,형성료상호분할적량충경제운행공간,저시영향아국구역경제협조발전적근본원인。
By constructing an indicator of the development level of neighboring provinces and its subdivision variables, the paper empirically analyzes the differences of spillover effect of regional economic growth and the segmentation of operating space of regional economy based on the panel data of Chinese 30 provinces from 1978 to 2008. It shows that there exists positive spillover effect at the national level as well as the regional level. A unidirectional spillover effect is formed between the neighboring eastern areas and central areas, that is to say, the economic growth of the central areas has a positive spillover effect on the one of the eastern areas. A benign bi-directional interactive spillover effect is formed between the neighboring central areas and western areas. Two economic operating systems make up Chinese regional economy, namely export-oriented economy in eastern areas and internal-oriented in central and western areas, but these two economic operating system lacks the interaction, leading to the segmentation of economic operating space. That is the key reason for affecting the harmonious develop ment of regional economy in China.