CAJ | 학술논문

2008年下半年以来，金融危机和油价暴跌重创俄罗斯经济，并使俄罗斯产业结构问题更加突出。在1992--1998年的经济衰退中，俄罗斯产业结构的调整具有明显的消极性和被动性。在1999年以来俄罗斯经济的迅速攀升中，俄政府没有利用这一有利时机进行产业结构调整，而是采取“消极适应”的政策，于是出现了今天俄罗斯产业结构的双元现象（优化与恶化）：一方面，俄罗斯总的产业结构发生了积极的变化，不仅三次产业的关系得到了初步的调整，而且产业结构出现了走向高级化的趋势；另一方面，俄罗斯各产业内部的结构愈发不合理，甚至呈现倒退的态势。在消极和被动中调整的俄罗斯产业结构，对俄罗斯的贸易结构产生了重要影响，并导致它在国际分工格局中定位选择的困境。
2008년하반년이래，금융위궤화유개폭질중창아라사경제，병사아라사산업결구문제경가돌출。재1992--1998년적경제쇠퇴중，아라사산업결구적조정구유명현적소겁성화피동성。재1999년이래아라사경제적신속반승중，아정부몰유이용저일유리시궤진행산업결구조정，이시채취“소겁괄응”적정책，우시출현료금천아라사산업결구적쌍원현상（우화여악화）：일방면，아라사총적산업결구발생료적겁적변화，불부삼차산업적관계득도료초보적조정，이차산업결구출현료주향고급화적추세；령일방면，아라사각산업내부적결구유발불합리，심지정현도퇴적태세。재소겁화피동중조정적아라사산업결구，대아라사적무역결구산생료중요영향，병도치타재국제분공격국중정위선택적곤경。
Since the second half of 2008, the financial crisis and the collapse in oil prices have stroked the Russian economy heavily, which expose prominently Russia＇s industrial structure problems. During the period of 1992-1998 recession, Russia＇s industrial restructuring has an obviously negative and passive character. Since 1999, the Russian economy has witnessed a rapid growth. However, the Russian government did not take advantage of this favorable opportunity to carry out industrial restructuring, but rather adopting a ＂passive adaptation＂ policy, which results in Russia＇s dual industrial structure （optimization and deterioration） today. On the one hand, Russia＇s total industrial structure has undergone positive changes, not only there has been preprimary adjustment in the relationship between the three industries, but there is a high-level trend in the industrial structure ; on the other hand, the internal structure of Russian industry seems to become more unreasonable, even somewhat backwards. The negative and passive adjustment of the Russian industrial structure has an important impact on Russian trade structure. It further leads to its dilemma of position in the international division of labor structure.