CAJ | 학술논문

运用数据建模、最优组合预测等方法,探讨刘翔伤愈复出后的竞技状态、成绩动态变化趋势及存在的问题。从而得出结论：（1）经过整合优化分析,2010年亚运会110m栏第一名成绩为13.06s,而刘翔2010年亚运会110m栏成绩时间将为13.08s,刘翔只要在备战中进一步恢复竞技状态、防止伤病复发、逐步提高成绩的稳定性,刘翔很可能卫冕2010年亚运会110m栏项目的冠军。（2）要充分、合理地利用东道主优势,这对刘翔在2010年亚运会的高水平发挥具有重要意义。
운용수거건모、최우조합예측등방법,탐토류상상유복출후적경기상태、성적동태변화추세급존재적문제。종이득출결론：（1）경과정합우화분석,2010년아운회110m란제일명성적위13.06s,이류상2010년아운회110m란성적시간장위13.08s,류상지요재비전중진일보회복경기상태、방지상병복발、축보제고성적적은정성,류상흔가능위면2010년아운회110m란항목적관군。（2）요충분、합리지이용동도주우세,저대류상재2010년아운회적고수평발휘구유중요의의。
Using data modeling, the optimal combination forecasting methods and so on, the purpose of this paper is to explore the competitive status after Liu Xiang＇s sport injuries rehabilitation and the dynamics trend of achievements. The conclusion are： 1） After integration and optimization analysis, the first score of 110m hurdles mark will be 13.06 seconds in the 2010 Asian Games and Liu Xiang＇s mark will be 13.08 seconds, as long as Liu Xiang should be further restore competitive state, prevent recurrence of injury, and gradually improve the performance stability, Liu Xiang will be likely to defend the 2010 Asian Games 110m hurdles. 2） Make full and reasonable use of the host advantage, it will make great significance to Liu Xiang for his high level of play.