CAJ | 학술논문

技术进步对就业具有双重影响,一定时期内技术进步的就业效应并不明确。本文将TFP分解为纯技术进步率和技术效率的提高,运用1978—2006年的时间序列数据,分别分析了纯技术进步率和技术效率的提高对我国就业的影响。本文的研究发现,纯技术进步对就业具有比较显著的负效应,当期技术效率的改善对就业没有显著影响,而滞后期技术效率的改善却对就业量的增加具有负效应;经济的高速增长对我国就业总量的增加具有明显的正效应。因此,保持经济的高速增长对我国就业具有十分重要的意义。
기술진보대취업구유쌍중영향,일정시기내기술진보적취업효응병불명학。본문장TFP분해위순기술진보솔화기술효솔적제고,운용1978—2006년적시간서렬수거,분별분석료순기술진보솔화기술효솔적제고대아국취업적영향。본문적연구발현,순기술진보대취업구유비교현저적부효응,당기기술효솔적개선대취업몰유현저영향,이체후기기술효솔적개선각대취업량적증가구유부효응;경제적고속증장대아국취업총량적증가구유명현적정효응。인차,보지경제적고속증장대아국취업구유십분중요적의의。
Technological advancement has a double impact on employment. The employment effects of technological progress in a certain period of time are not clear. The paper classifies TFP into the improvement of pure technological advancement rate and technological efficiency, and analyzes the influence of such improvement on China＇ s employment, using time - series data from 1978 to 2006. The results show that pure technological advancement has more significant negative effects on employment, current improvements in technical efficiency has no significant effect on employment, while technical efficiency improvements during the lag period have negative effects on the increase in employment; and rapid economic has significant positive effects on the increase in total employment in China. As a result, to maintain rapid economic growth is of great significance on China＇ s employment.