CAJ | 학술논문

中国粮食市场与粮食政策60年的发展历程呈现出七大变迁特点：一是粮食市场演进基本是以政府强制性变迁为主导；二是粮食市场经历了由短缺到供求大致均衡、由政府定价为主到市场形成价格的演变；三是粮食产量波动与价格波动既受经济周期影响，又与改革进程高度相关；四是粮食产量与粮食价格呈明显相关性和周期性变化，且价格波动幅度高于产量波动幅度；五是粮食人均产量经历了由不足——基本满足生存——追求更高生活质量的演进历程；六是粮食兼具农产品、工业品与金融产品的属性特征日益明显；七是影响粮食价格波动的因素由“粮食政策调整或供给变动”向更复杂和更多元化的因素转变。
중국양식시장여양식정책60년적발전역정정현출칠대변천특점：일시양식시장연진기본시이정부강제성변천위주도；이시양식시장경력료유단결도공구대치균형、유정부정개위주도시장형성개격적연변；삼시양식산량파동여개격파동기수경제주기영향，우여개혁진정고도상관；사시양식산량여양식개격정명현상관성화주기성변화，차개격파동폭도고우산량파동폭도；오시양식인균산량경력료유불족——기본만족생존——추구경고생활질량적연진역정；륙시양식겸구농산품、공업품여금융산품적속성특정일익명현；칠시영향양식개격파동적인소유“양식정책조정혹공급변동”향경복잡화경다원화적인소전변。
Based on the development history of China＇ s grain markets and grain policy from 1949 to 2008, the transition of China ＇ s grain market presents seven characteristics. First, the development process of grain markets was driven mainly by obligatory change of government. Second, grain market experienced the alteration from shortage to equilibrium of supply and demand and the price formation evolved from government-oriented price to market-oriented price. Third, the fluctuation in grain production and grain price was influenced not only by economic cycle but also by reform progress. Fourth, grain production and grain price were closely relevant with periodical changes, and the range of price fluctuation was higher than that of production fluctuation. Fifth, grain production per capita experienced the evolution of ＂insufficiency, basic survival, well-off life＂ process. Sixth, grain increasingly had the attributes of agricultural product, manufactured goods and financial product. Seventh, grain price was previously influenced by food policy or supply-demand, and it turned to be influenced by more complicated and more diversified factors.