心理科学
心理科學
심이과학
Psychological Science
2010年
2期
412~415
,共null页
条件概率模型 参数相关性检验 高概率结论效应
條件概率模型 參數相關性檢驗 高概率結論效應
조건개솔모형 삼수상관성검험 고개솔결론효응
Conditional probability model, Parameter correlation, High-probability conclusion effects
本研究对Oaksford条件推理概率计算模型进行了参数相关性检验，结果表明，在LL、LH、和HH命题条件下，被试对MT式的认可度与其对AC式的认可度之间存在正相关，这与基于该模型所作的预测正好相反；基于该模型的高概率结论效应预言也只在部分推理式中得到证明。实验同时表明，推理式认可度与结论概率的相关特性还与前提命题的类型有关。
本研究對Oaksford條件推理概率計算模型進行瞭參數相關性檢驗，結果錶明，在LL、LH、和HH命題條件下，被試對MT式的認可度與其對AC式的認可度之間存在正相關，這與基于該模型所作的預測正好相反；基于該模型的高概率結論效應預言也隻在部分推理式中得到證明。實驗同時錶明，推理式認可度與結論概率的相關特性還與前提命題的類型有關。
본연구대Oaksford조건추리개솔계산모형진행료삼수상관성검험，결과표명，재LL、LH、화HH명제조건하，피시대MT식적인가도여기대AC식적인가도지간존재정상관，저여기우해모형소작적예측정호상반；기우해모형적고개솔결론효응예언야지재부분추리식중득도증명。실험동시표명，추리식인가도여결론개솔적상관특성환여전제명제적류형유관。
An experimental verification of the parameter correlation of conditional prohability model was carried out. The results show that as far as LL, LH, and HH propositions are concerned, the participant＇s endorsement of the MT format in conditional reasoning is positively correlated with that of AC format, which is contrary to what the mode/predicted. High-probability conclusion effects were observed only in certain propositions for certain conditional reasoning formats, which indicates that the specific correlative property between participant＇s endorsement and the probability of conclusion is related to the category of premise proposition.
