CAJ | 학술논문

为了探索利用代谢组学方法预测高水平男子中短距离游泳成绩的可能性。第15届亚运会赛前1个月,每周1次,利用基于核磁共振（NMR）的代谢组学方法对18名准备参加亚运会的男子运动员晨尿进行分析,然后采用有监督的模式识别方法——Fisher逐步判别分析法,根据从一维核磁共振氢谱获取的标准化数据,建立高水平男子中短距离游泳成绩预测代谢组学模型。结果显示：模型的预测性能检验结果,对比赛中奖牌选手（进入前3名）与非奖牌选手（未进入前3名）、决赛选手（进入前8名）与非决赛选手（未进入前8名）的样本预测准确率可达到90%以上。初步证明了利用代谢组学模型预测高水平男子中短距离游泳比赛成绩的可行性。
위료탐색이용대사조학방법예측고수평남자중단거리유영성적적가능성。제15계아운회새전1개월,매주1차,이용기우핵자공진（NMR）적대사조학방법대18명준비삼가아운회적남자운동원신뇨진행분석,연후채용유감독적모식식별방법——Fisher축보판별분석법,근거종일유핵자공진경보획취적표준화수거,건립고수평남자중단거리유영성적예측대사조학모형。결과현시：모형적예측성능검험결과,대비새중장패선수（진입전3명）여비장패선수（미진입전3명）、결새선수（진입전8명）여비결새선수（미진입전8명）적양본예측준학솔가체도90%이상。초보증명료이용대사조학모형예측고수평남자중단거리유영비새성적적가행성。
In order to probe into the possibility to predict the performances of high performance male medium and long distance swimmers by utilizing metabonomical methods,the authors analyzed the morning urine of 18 male swimmers preparing for participating in the Asian Games once a week,1 month before the 15th Asian Games,by utilizing metabonomical methods based on nuclear magnetic resonance（NMR）,then established metabonomical models for predicting the performances of high performance male medium and long distance swimmer based on standardized data obtained from the one dimensional NMR spectrum of hydrogen by using a monitored mode iden-tification method – the gradual discriminant analysis method created by Fisher,and revealed the following test result of the prediction performance of the models： the sample prediction accuracy rates of the medalists（top 3）,non medalists（beyond top 3）,finalists（top 8） and non finalists（beyond top 8） were up to 90%,which preliminarily proved the feasibility to predict the competition performances of high performance male medium and long distance swimmers by utilizing metabonomical methods.