CAJ | 학술논문

随着改革开放步伐的不断加快，天津作为沿海开放城市在吸引外资和对外贸易方面取得了显著成效。特别是入世后，天津引进FDI和进出口贸易都呈现出高速增长。本文首先以统计数据为基础分析了天津的FDI与进出口贸易现状，然后通过建立计量模型，运用协整分析及格兰杰检验从总量分析FDI对天津进出口贸易总量的影响。其次，从贸易商品结构和贸易方式结构角度研究了FDI对天津进出口贸易结构的影响。研究表明．FDI对天津市进出口贸易总额存在积极的拉动效应，对进出口商品构成产生明显的影响作用，有利于改善天津产业结构。同时也发现了天津引资过程中存在的一些问题，并就其提出对策。
수착개혁개방보벌적불단가쾌，천진작위연해개방성시재흡인외자화대외무역방면취득료현저성효。특별시입세후，천진인진FDI화진출구무역도정현출고속증장。본문수선이통계수거위기출분석료천진적FDI여진출구무역현상，연후통과건립계량모형，운용협정분석급격란걸검험종총량분석FDI대천진진출구무역총량적영향。기차，종무역상품결구화무역방식결구각도연구료FDI대천진진출구무역결구적영향。연구표명．FDI대천진시진출구무역총액존재적겁적랍동효응，대진출구상품구성산생명현적영향작용，유리우개선천진산업결구。동시야발현료천진인자과정중존재적일사문제，병취기제출대책。
With the step of the reform and opening-up speeding up, Tianjin, one of the leading cities in China＇ s coastal areas of opening-up, has achieved rapid development in the introduction of FDI and foreign trade. Firstly, based on the statistical data, the paper analyses the status quo of FDI and import and export trade of Tianjin, and then, by establishing econometric model, makes an empirical study of FDI＇ s impact on import and export trade with the methods of co-integration test and Granger test. Secondly, starting from the point of commodity and structure of trade, it studies FDI＇ s impact on import and export trade structure of Tianjin. The findings show that FDI has promoted the development of import and export trade and the optimization of trade structure, which plays a part in the improvement of industrial structure. Meanwhile, it finds out some problems in the introduction of FDI and offers some suggestions.